Daily Fantasy Golf – Dane’s Darts for the PGA Championship

Each week Dane brings you his preview article and in addition, we also have a DFS PGA cheatsheet where both Dane and Chris rank their top plays in each price range. To get access to this sheet and our Slack chat, grab a FREE trial and use promo code “RP50” and get 50% off your first payment. With that, let’s jump into the article.

Dane’s Darts for the PGA Championship

The second major of the year brings us to Kiawah Island, SC. The Ocean Course is a gem of a course and sets up for an awesome test for the best players in the world. We have a lot of options to choose from this week and I’m here to help you narrow down your player pool. There are a few different ways that you can go about building this week and we will get into those strategies below.

As mentioned, my goal for this article is to break down each price range from a strategy/lineup construction standpoint. Once I do that, I will list a couple of my favorite plays in the range. I really want to help you by talking through how we can be different through construction and not necessarily just taking 3-4 < 5% owned players. That is one way I have really improved in DFS golf, understanding that you only must be different to a point. I usually focus on lower entry max GPPs (single entry, 3 maxes, and 5 maxes) but will speak to certain plays that are better in larger fields and cash games.  

I build my models and do a lot of my early week research over at Fantasy National. If you haven’t checked them out, I would highly recommend giving them a shot. It is really a great place to build your own custom models based on the things that you think are important for the week. If you have a certain inclination that one stat will be more important than another you are able to weigh it higher and build out your own model in that way. You can check out their site at www.fantasynational.com.

Overall Strategy

Kiawah is a course that is defended by the wind. Even though it is super long, approaching 8,000 yards I do think we see a winner around -10 if there is not much wind for the week. All that it takes though is one day full of wind and these scores will go way up. To play well here you are going to have to hit it well tee to green. This is a Pete Dye course and that means that it has many intricacies that are meant to fool every golfer. I am looking a little bit at people who play well on other Pete Dye courses in my research.

You are going to need your long irons to compete this week so I am looking at proximity from 200+. There is some trouble that you can get into off the tee in these waste areas so good drives are going to also be key this week.

Here is a look at my complete list of key stats for the week:

Key Stats

  • SG: Ball Striking
  • SG: Approach 
  • Good Drives Gained
  • Prox: 200+

There are a lot of good values in each pricing tier this week so I think you can build stars and scrubs and not feel horrible about your lineup. I will have a mix of this with balanced in my 20 max because I do like a lot of mid range guys this week as well. 

If we do get a shift in the weather mid week and have a wave advantage this will definitely be something to take advantage of much like we did a couple weeks back at Quail Hollow. Chris and I will be sure to touch on this during our live show on Wednesday night.

$9K + Range

  • Rory McIlroy ($11,500) – The winner here at the last PGA at Kiawah Island was no other than Rory, when he lapped the field by 8 strokes. He got back on track in a big way with a win last time out at Quail Hollow a place he has dominated in the past. I loved what I saw out of him all week and have no hesitation to go to him here. The price is high but as I mentioned before, I see a lot of value that helps to play him and you can even do it with another $10k+ golfer if you really want to. 
  • Jordan Spieth ($10,100) – Jordan has really kicked into form and looks close to going on a run like he did in 2015. He needs this week to complete the career grand slam so I guess that does add a bit more pressure, but I can’t overlook the way he is playing right now. His tee to green game has been next level good and we know the kind of putter he is.

Notables: Bryson DeChambeau, Viktor Hovland

$7K and $8K Range

  • Daniel Berger ($8,700) – Berger comes in with some kind of strong recent form, storming up the board Sunday at the Byron Nelson to top it off. I think he is ready to break out on the big stage and comes with a very nice price tag this week at only $8,700. 
  • Tommy Fleetwood ($8,200) – I love playing Tommy in major championships and he looks to be finding some form right now. I think his game sets up perfect for this type of course and he can play in the wind if it does kick up. 
  • Matt Wallace ($7,400) – Wallace is underpriced for his recent form and I do expect him to be popular. I will still be on him as I can’t overlook his form that reads 3rd, 34th, 18th and 6th. His all around game is on point and provides us some nice salary relief in this ragne.

Notables: Shane Lowry, Cameron Smith, Keegan Bradley, Bubba Watson

$6K Range

  • Charl Schwartzel ($6,800) – Since a solid finish at the Masters Schwartzel has found some strong form with finishes 21st, 14th and 3rd last week. His tee to green game has been spectacular and is priced under $7k for us this week. I will watch his ownership to make sure he doesn’t come in super popular, but I like him overall heading into the week.

Notables: Thomas Pieters

If you guys have any questions please let me know in the Slack! Remember to always trust your gut and play the plays that your research leads you to!

UFC 262 – Charles Oliveira v. Michael Chandler

Good Saturday afternoon everyone. It’s been a while since I’ve written up something for Draftkings UFC but I am really excited about tonight’s action. Without further delay this is what I am looking at for tonight.

Top value plays

Kevin Aguilar –  If he loses he is likely out of the UFC so there is some extra motivation. He has lost 3 straight, but it was against tough competition. He is taking on a newcomer coming off of a good showing in the contender series, but he doesn’t stand out to me as anything too special. Aguilar will benefit if they are able to keep this one on the feet. For the price I like Aguilar. This fight will likely goto decision so we will likely be at the hands of the judges in this close fight. If either were to finish early I would see it being Aguilar

Priscila Cachoeira – She has a huge upside for her price. This match is either going to decision and Gina Mazany will win with a fairly low point output, or Cachoeira will put it away in the 1st or 2nd round, which at 6900 makes her an absolute must in your lineups. Mazany has lost in the 1st round in 3 of her last 5 fights. Now with all of that said, Mazany did look very impressive in her last fight accumulating a lot of Takedowns and a knockdown, but until she does it again that seems to be more of an anomaly than reality. The betting line is way too wide for what history has shown. In no way do i think Cachoeira is a lock, but her upside is too big to ignore.

Edson Barboza – This fight could end up being the fight of the night and it can go either direction honestly. If people like to base their ownership just looking at past fights they may overlook Barboza as he has lost three of his last five, but all three were against great fighters and 2 were due to arguably bad decisions made by the judges (you don’t say?). Barbazo is a pretty safe bet for cash lineups if this were to go to decision and he does lose. His floor is pretty high for his price (outside an early finish).

Tony Ferguson – This match is huge for both fighters. A year ago Ferguson was eyeing the belt that he previously had to surrender but fell to Gaethje late in the 5th round of a very close fight and then lost to Charles Oliviera late last year. Deruish is on a six match winning streak and a win here would likely put him a fight or 2 away from a title shot. Just like a few of the other matches that can go either way but Ferguson is hard to ignore.

Top Stud Play

Christos Giagos – With all of the value out there I am going to take a stand and lock in Giagos. Sean Soriano is fighting on short notice as Joel Alvarez was originally supposed to be fighting in this match. Soriano has been in the UFC before but was cut in 2015 after 3 consecutive losses. If this goes the distance then my night might be done as Giagos cardio is not very good, but that just means I expect him to win with a 1st or 2nd round KO.

 

Fade match of the night

Katlyn Chookagian v. Viviane Araujo – I don’t see Araujo winning and I don’t see Chookagian accumulating enough points. She is low output and likes to stay on her feet so we lose control time potential and takedown

 

Coin Flip Must have matches

Charles Oliveira v. Michael Chandler – This match should be really exciting, and I believe it’s going to end in the 3rd round, but I couldn’t tell you which one is winning. I lean Oliveira, but i’d be lying if I said I was extremely confident

Jacare Souza v. Andre Muniz  – Much like the Oliveira match I believe this one is going to end in the 2nd or 3rd round, but it really could go either way.

Daily Fantasy Hockey Plays for DraftKings and FanDuel May 8/21

Goalies

Cam Talbot

Talbot has found a nice home in Minnesota and he’s having a solid season as he is 18-7-5 to go along with a 2.58 GAA and a .918 save %. The Ducks are ranked 30th in offense and dead last on the PP, and the Wild are massive -275 favorites to win. Lock and load Talbot in all formats this evening. 

 

Mike Smith

The veteran tender has been awesome this season as he has a record of 19-6-2 to go along with a 2.26 GAA and .925 save %. The Canucks are ranked 26th in offense and 26th on the PP and the Oilers are -205 favorites to win so fire up Smith in all formats. 

 

Teams to Target 

 

Minnesota Wild 

The Wild are surging at the right time and they own the ninth-ranked offense while the Ducks own the 23rd ranked defense but backup Ryan Miller is really struggling for the Ducks. 

 

Rookie Kirill Kaprizov has five goals as three assists in his last five games and 37 shots in his last 10. Mats Zuccarello has a goal and three assists in his last four and Ryan Hartman completes the Ducks’ top line. 

 

Toronto Maple Leafs

The Leafs are playing well again and they’re ranked fifth in offense, while the Habs are ranked 17th in defense but they owned a top-10 defense for most of the season and Jake Allen has allowed ten goals in his last two Games. 

 

All-world centre Auston Matthews has 64 points in only 49 games and Mitchell Marner has 66 points in 53 games. Morgan Rielly, John Tavares, and William Nylander complete the top PP unit.

 

One-off Value Plays

 

Anthony Beauvillier 

The young winger is on a five-game point streak where he has five goals and an assist, and a whopping 24 shots. Fire him up on both sites a nice value play. 

 

Erik Karlsson

The veteran point-man has two goals, six shots, and three blocks in his last two games and is too cheap on both sites for his current production. Lock him and load him as a value play this evening.

 

Daily Fantasy Hockey Plays for DraftKings and FanDuel May 5/21

Goalies

Jordan Binnington

The young tender with a Stanley Cup on his resume has been solid lately as he has won four of his last five games and he allowed only one goal to the Ducks last game. The Ducks are ranked 30th in offense and the Blues are massive favorites to win so fire up Binnington in all formats.

Philipp Grubauer

The veteran German tender has been awesome this year as he is 27-8-1 to go along with a 2.00 GAA and a .921 save %. The Sharks can score goals at times but they are still ranked 24th in offense and the Avs are just too strong of a team. Lock and load Grubauer in all formats with confidence. 

 

Teams to Target 

Colorado Avalanche 

Holy Mackerel, the Avs top line has been on an absolute tear lately and they own the league’s top offense while the Sharks are ranked 29th in defense.

 

Of course it starts with Nathan Mackinnon who has a goal, three assists and a whopping 18 shots in his last two games. That’s simply amazing and Mikko Rantanen has three goals, four assists, and 13 shots in his last three and Gabriel Landeskog completes the top line for the Avs. 

 

Washington Capitals

This game could get ugly as there was a lot of drama two nights ago and Tom Wilson didn’t even get suspended for his unsurprising behaviour. The Rangers have nothing to play for so the Caps could be on their third-ranked powerplay a lot. 

 

Nicklas Backstrom has a goal and three assists in his last three games and John Carlson had an assist, three shots, and three blocks last game. Some of the Caps’ top players are still hurt or sick so we will need to check the lineups later in the day to see who completes the top PP unit. 

 

One-off Value Plays

 

Nick Suzuki

The young centre is becoming a star for the Habs and he is on a six-game point streak where he has four goals and six assists. He is too cheap on both sites for this kind of production so fire him up as a value play.

 

Justin Faulk

The veteran point-man has been a good fit with the Blues and he has two assists, ten shots, and three blocks in his last two games while averaging 26 minutes of ice-time. Lock and load Faulk as a value play this evening.