Week 5 is in the books, and the NFL season is sadly about 25% through, however the good news is we are really starting to see which matchups are worth targeting each week and building some consistent momentum in the “cash” column. The week is young, however we have plenty to discuss in anticipation of some personnel changes this upcoming weekend.
Ajayi done for the season, Smallwood + Clement time.
I won’t spend too much time on this as it is not on the main slate, for our season-long fans out there Clement is the better PPR option, however Ajayi’s injury mostly opens up carries for Smallwood. It is also worth noting that Evan Engram will be “100% full speed” at practice Tuesday, which bodes well for his return on Thursday.
Be wary of Hopkins this week.
I personally think Hopkins is the best WR in the NFL, but with Watson somewhat banged up, and a matchup with Tre’Davious White on tap, the case can be made to fade him for Fuller or rookie Coutee who has looked very reliable in his first two starts. The Bills passed on both Mahomes, and Watson for White who has proven to be every bit of a shutdown corner thus far and the case can easily be made to spend your salary elsewhere this week.
Keep an eye out for the status of Kupp, Cooks.
Cooks and Kupp both had to leave last week’s showdown with the Seahawks due to concussions, look to Josh Reynolds to fill in for some of the production if they both miss out this weekend. Reynolds caught 2 of 3 targets last weekend for 39 yards and had 10 rushing yards.
Derek Carr represents top-QB value of the week.
Due to his price this week, Derek Carr would simply need a 300-yard, touchdown-less game to hit value. On the season so far, he has been averaging 328 yards per game. His volume, and his extremely cheap price make him a very safe QB target this week.
Lamar Miller at Buffalo represents top RB value of the week.
With an expected output of 16.1 points and a price of only $4,700 on DK, Lamar Miller represent an excellent value play In what should be a high-scorung affair between the Texans and the Bills. D’Onta Foreman is eligible to return from the PUP next week, meaning Lamar is definitely hearing the footsteps.
Cameron Brate should see a ton of volume.
What do we look for in DFS Football? VOLUME. OJ Howard will miss this matchup, leaving Brate as the only TE in a game with a massive total, and a game script that should favor prevent-defense as well as the Bucs having to play catch-up.
Cobb, Allison likely to return; don’t chase MVS.
Valdes-Scantling was one of the top value-plays of week 5, however his relevance will be short-lived as the returns of both Cobb, and Allison will send him back to the bench. If only Allison plays, I don’t like MVS as anything more than the deepest of streamers.
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