The second elimination race of the 2018 playoffs takes the Monster Energy Cup Series back to Kansas Speedway for the Hollywood Casino 400 this Sunday. Two drivers(Aric Almirola & Chase Elliott) are locked into the Round of 8 leaving 10 other drivers to battle for the remaining six spots.
The track is a 1.5-mile D-shaped Oval intermediate so for fantasy we are back to targeting dominator drivers for the most part. Looking at the last six races here, there has been one driver to lead 100 or more laps in each race with multiple drivers leading 50 or more laps in five straight here at Kansas. When looking at my cheatsheet this week, I will also be weighing track type quite as there has already been nine races on mile and a half tracks this season.
In this article, I will be looking at some of the top targets in each price range based on the practice and qualifying information available. To see all my top targets and advanced stats be sure to check out my DFS NASCAR Cheatsheet where I have updates on those sessions and also list my final targets. You can also jump into the RotoPros Slack Chat if you have any questions. Let's get into the picks.
Top Tier Targets
Kyle Busch(DK - $11,800 FD - $13,800)
Kyle struggled here at Kansas early in his career with just two Top 10’s in his first 14 races but has really turned it since. He comes into this weekend’s race with seven straight Top 10’s including five Top 5’s and a win in 2015. That isn’t the only reason he is #1 in my model this week as he was Top 5 in both final practices and also posted the fastest 10-lap averages in both of those practices. He is in play in all formats.
Kevin Harvick(DK - $12,300 FD - $14,200)
I will be building around Busch and Harvick this week as the two of them have won six of the nine races on the mile and a half tracks this season. For Harvick, he won the Spring race here at Kansas and has now won two of the last four at the track. He was 20th and 16th in the final two practices but was Top 5 in 10-lap averages showing he likely has a good ling-run car. At his price, I would only consider him in GPP formats only.
Mid Tier Targets
Ryan Blaney(DK - $8,700 FD - $11,500)
Blaney is in a position in this race where he can advance on points with a ton of help leaving his best scenario to win the race to advance. The good news is that he has shown a ton of speed qualifying fourth for the race and then went out and posted Top 10 speeds in both final practices including 10-lap averages. Outside of a crash here in the Spring, he has also been consistent here with Top 5 finishes in three of his previous four before that. With a mid-tier price, he is in play in all formats.
Aric Almirola(DK - $8,100 FD - $10,100)
While others will be fighting to advance into the next round, Almirola is already locked in and only looking for additional points to carry over into the Round of 8. After struggling here without a Top 10 and four finishes outside of the Top 20 in six straight races, Almirola has been much better lately with back to back Top 10’s. He has also been at or near the top of the speed charts post-qualifying ranking 1st in the second practice(6th in 10-lap avg) and 3rd in the final practice(2nd in 10-lap avg).
Darrell Wallace Jr.(DK - $5,500 FD - $7,200)
The one low end value that stands out above the rest this week is Darrell Wallace Jr. who qualified 29th. He finished 23rd here in the Spring after qualifying 21st so a similar finish would be more than enough to hit value this week. More good news as he practiced(16th, 25th) better than his starting position in both final practices.