Week 13 is here and with bye weeks a thing of the past, we have a full 13-game main slate on Sunday. Of those 13 games, there are only three(CAR @ TB, LARM @ DET, KC @ OAK) with a Vegas Total of 50 or greater. Let’s dig in and take a look at some of the top cash games plays at each position.
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Cam Newton(DK - $6,600 FD - $8,700)
Now that we are back to a full slate of games, we have a ton of options at the quarterback position. Mahomes is in a price range of his own and is a GPP only play for me this week as that game could get out of hand early and we have seen a few times this season he hasn’t had to throw a ton in those games. The Raiders defense has also been much better against the pass than the run which could lead to a heavy dose of Kareem Hunt.
For me, I will be taking the discount and PTS/$ bump and rolling with Cam Newton. He gets a much better matchup against a Bucs defense that has allowed the sixth-most passing yards per game(274.3) and the fourth most fantasy points per game to the QB position. He has also been one of the best QB’s this season from a fantasy perspective ranking 7th in average DraftKings points(24.1) and 4th in average FanDuel points(23.5) per game. He has also hit 2x value on FanDuel in all but one game and 3x value in six of 11 games. On DraftKings, he has hit 3x value in nine of 11 games and 4x value in six of 11 games. The spread is thin as the Panthers are 3.5 point favorites and Cam is easily my top PTS/$ cash value this week.
Kirk Cousins(DK - $5,500 FD - $7,600)
I originally had Lamar Jackson in my #2 spot for cash game QB’s this week until I saw that Cousins is $400 cheaper on DraftKings. I get that Jackson’s rushing ability gives him a high floor against a bad Falcons defense but Cousins is clearly the better quarterback overall. The matchup is also very good as the Patriots have been much better against the run(14th in rushing yards per game) than the pass(25th in passing yards per game). They have also given up the 7th most fantasy points per game to the QB position.
For Cousins, he comes into this week ranked 5th overall in passing yards(3,289), 3rd overall in completion %(71.1%), and 9th in passing touchdowns(22). For the most part, his down weeks have come when Stefon Diggs was injured but that is not the case this week. He even showed us last week when teams try and shut down Diggs and Thielen together that he will utilize Kyle Rudolph at tight end. Volume shouldn’t be a problem this week as he has attempted 35+ passes in nine of his 11 games and the Vikings are 3.5 point favorites and will likely have to throw a ton to keep up with the Patriots in New England. If you want to roll two or three stud players at running back and wideout(and there are tons of them), lock Cousins into your cash lineups this week.
Also Consider: Lamar Jackson(BAL) who seen just a small price increase after hitting value once again last week. He gets another plus matchup against the Falcons who have allowed the 7th most passing yards per game and the 8th most rushing yards per game
Running Back Targets
Christian McCaffrey(DK - $8,800 FD - $8,800)
Todd Gurley sits atop the salary but as we seen last week, shares the ball with so many other weapons and has a relatively tough matchup against an upgraded Lions rush defense. Don’t get me wrong, I will have shares in GPP’s as his upside is about as high as it gets but for cash games, I will be going a different direction.
I will be starting my cash lineups with Christian McCaffrey who has been one of the best backs in the league lately. He is coming off a monster performance where he rushed for 125 yards and a touchdown and also added 112 receiving yards and another touchdown. Over his last five games, he has seen 92% of the touch share out of the backfield, scored nine touchdowns, and has tallied 20 or more fantasy points four times and 30 or more three times. He now faces a Bucs team that has given up the 6th most fantasy points per game to running backs. It is an expensive way to go but I have no issues rolling out Cam and CMac together in cash games as it gives you exposure to every Panthers score in a potential shootout.
Gus Edwards(DK - $4,800 FD - $6,400)
Since the Ravens turned to Lamar Jackson at quarterback and implemented a heavy RPO(run/pass option) style offense, Gus Edwards has thrived. He has out-carried the other three other backs combined 30-18 and has run for 100+ yards in back to back games. He now gets another plus matchup against the Falcons who have allowed the 8th most rushing yards per game(123.7) and have given up the 3rd most fantasy points per game to the position. The price has gone up a ton on FanDuel(+$1,100) making the decision much tougher but on DraftKings, he is still under $5K and an excellent play in all formats once again this week.
Also consider: Aaron Jones(GB) who has receiver 95% of the touch share over the last two weeks and is also averaging five targets per game in his last four games. Additionally, he gets a plus matchup against the Cardinals who have given up the 3rd most rushing yards per game
Wide Receiver Targets
Kenny Gollday(DK - $6,700 FD - $7,300)
Volume is everything and Golladay is getting more than his share lately as he has been targeted 34 times over the last three games. He has only caught 55% of those but it’s what he has done with receptions that count and he has averaged 94 yards in those games with two touchdowns. Marvin Jones is now out for the season so we can fully expect that volume to continue moving forward as the Lions are thin at the position. The matchup is also pretty good as the Rams rank 19th in passing yards per game on the season(252) and have allowed an average of 297 yards over their last four games. The Rams are clearly the better team and should get out to an early lead which is also positive for the game script as the Lions should have to pass it 35-45 times on Sunday. Golladay is an excellent target in cash games and also has upside for GPP formats.
D.J. Moore(DK - $5,600 FD - $6,400)
This is definitely the first time I have recommended three players from one team but if there was a team to do it against it’s the Bucs. They have given up the 6th most passing yards per game(274.3), 6th most fantasy points per game to wideouts, and the 2nd most points per game(30.7). Rookie D.J. Moore has also emerged as the top receiving option for Cam Newton as he is second to only McCaffrey in targets(24-22) over the last three games and has tallied 248 yards and a touchdown over the last two. None of the Bucs corners(Grimes, Elliott, Davis) have been very good this season and Moore will likely see all of them as they move him around the formation a ton. The price is going up but there is still a lot of PTS/$ in this matchup making Moore one of my top cash game plays this week.
Also Consider: Tyler Boyd(CIN) who rebounded last week catching seven of eight targets for 85 yards and should get back A.J. Green to take away some tough coverage assignments
Tight End Target
Eric Ebron(DK - $4,200 FD - $5,600)
If you can fit Kelce who is $1,000 more than any other tight end on this slate he is by far the best play from a raw points perspective but it will be tough without sacrificing at other positions. Instead, I will hop on the chalk train and roll with Eric Ebron. With Jack Doyle placed on season-ending IR this week, Ebron no longer has to share targets and the rest of the Indy tight ends(Hewitt, Swooper, Alie-Cox) are all questionable to play themselves. He may not be the most consistent player at the position but is tied for the league-lead with 11 touchdowns on the season and has seen the 6th most targets inside the red zone(WR/RB included). Most of all, he provides some salary relief to help us get to the players I mentioned above.
Also Consider: Jared Cook(OAK)