Tuesday brings us 10 games split into multiple slates. In this article, I will be looking at my core plays for the four-game early slate. Let’s get started.
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With that, let’s jump into the picks.
Despite this being a small slate, there are some decent pitching options and it starts with Patrick Corbin who has been terrific with his new team after a breakout campaign in 2018 with the D-Backs. Through three starts, he has allowed just six earned runs(2.84 ERA, 3.31 xFIP) while posting an elite K/BB ratio of 6 to 1. He now gets a plus matchup at home against a Giants team that ranks near the bottom in almost every offensive category including a team K rate of 25.1%. He is easily my top option in all formats.
Also Consider: Michael Pineda(MIN)
With the Nats facing a lefty(Drew Pomeranz) today there is a high probability Yan Gomes will be in the lineup. He has become an excellent platoon catcher who has mashed lefties to the tune of a .364 wOBA, 126 wRC+, and .222 ISO since the start of the 2017 season. If starting, he is a lock for me on in all formats on both sites on this small slate allowing us to load up at other positions including pitching.
Also Consider: Freddie Freeman(ATL), Jose Abreu(CWS)
With a lack of options at the position, it will be one spot I will pay up for on the early slate. Albies has been primarily hitting leadoff for the Braves lately and is off to a hot start slashing .333/.397/.500 with 11 runs scored. It is a small sample size but he has also been much better from the left side of the plate(switch hitter) this season with a .311 average, .384 wOBA, and 133 wRC+. The matchup doesn’t jump off the page but Luke Weaver has not been great allowing nine earned runs over his first three starts(5.11 ERA, 3.97 xFIP) with a 46% hard contact rate. Fire up Albies in all formats.
Also Consider: Eric Sogard(TOR) if back in the leadoff spot
Rendon has been a model of consistency to start the year as he enters tonight with a 15 game hitting streak and is now hitting .387 with six home runs and 18 RBI. He also ranks 4th in ISO(.448), 2nd in Slugging %(.845), and third in OPS(1.308) making him more than worth the ticket price. The Nats currently sit with the highest implied runs on the slate(4.8) as they face Drew Pomeranz who has been a pleasant surprise in 2019 through three starts but has a long track record of mediocrity and has given up 53 home runs in his previous three seasons and is now giving up a career-high 37% hard contact rate. Regression is coming and it could be as soon as today.
Also Consider: Jeimer Candelario(DET)
Get it while it’s good. That saying works so well in this situation as Tim Anderson is off to an absolutely insane start to the season hitting .424 with four home runs and 12 RBI through 15 games. The price has jumped big time but he could definitely see a jump up the lineup today with Yoan Moncada being day to day after being hit in the head with a ball while sliding into second last night. The other factor in play here is the weather but being so far out I didn’t want to rule this out. Join us in the community chat for weather updates in the morning.
Also Consider: Jorge Polanco(MIN)
I mentioned the Braves matchup above facing Luke Weaver who has given up a ton of hard contact and sits with a 5+ ERA to start the season. Another bat in the lineup I will be targeting is Nick Markakis who comes affordable on both sites in the mid range and has been very consistent slashing .321/.381/.500 with 13 RBI and 12 runs scored hitting primarily out of the five-hole. All things considered, he is my top PTS/$ play in the outfield.
Also Consider: Ketel Marte(ARI), Max Kepler(MIN