Happy Saturday baseball fans. Today we have two separate seven-game slate so let’s jump in and take a look at some of the core plays at each position for each slate.
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With that, let’s jump into the picks.
Berrios is my top pick on the early slate as the Twins are big -260 home favorites against an Orioles team ranking in the bottom 10 in wOBA and wRC+ for the season. Berrios has also some glaring splits and has been terrific at home posting a 2.67 ERA/3.48 xFIP while allowing just a .243 wOBA and .194 to opponents since the start of the 2017 season. Fire up Berrios in all formats.
On the main slate, I will be paying up for Clayton Kershaw. He has picked up a quality start in both appearances in 2019 and has struck 13 and walked four. Tonight the Dodgers are -200 favorites against a Pirates team that has struggled offensively overall and has been even worse against lefties with a .258 wOBA, 57 wRC+, and whopping 30% K rate. I will have exposure in all formats.
Targeting against the Orioles league-worst ERA(6.03) has been a very successful venture early in the season and I am going back there today. At first, I am looking at the discount on Cron who is in a terrific matchup once again as the O’s face Dan Straily who has been nothing short of a disaster this season. He has given up 21 hits in 14 innings and a whopping seven home runs while giving up a 52% hard contact rate(53%!!). He is affordable on both sites and in play in all formats.
On the main slate, I will be once again targeting the top offense in baseball, the Seattle Mariners. They get a plus matchup against lefty Mike Minor who is coming off a season where he gave up 25 home runs and has already given up four this season. Encarnacion struggled against lefties last season but is off to a hot start this year going 4 for 14 with two home runs. Overall, he is only hitting .236 but is getting on base at a .367 clip and is a nice PTS/$ in all formats.
As long as he continues to hit leadoff with all the injuries, I will consider Lemahieu given his price, especially on DraftKings. Since taking over that leadoff spot, he has hits in four of his last five starts including back to back multi hit efforts. He and the Yanks also get a plus matchup against Derek Holland who has given up seven earned runs in his last two starts and at least one home run in each of his five starts this season. All things considered, LeMahieu is in play in all formats.
The Cubs have the second-highest implied runs on the main slate and make a great team to target for cash game pieces or as a GPP stack. Descalso is a batter I will be targeting in all formats if he is back at the top of the order as he has been solid with a .371 OBP. He and the Cubs also face a struggling Zack Godley that sits with an ugly 1.6 WHIP, 6.67 ERA, and 5.42 xFIP. Descalso is in play on both sites but his best value comes on FanDuel in the sub $3K range.
Carpenter hasn’t has the best start to the season hitting just .209 but is buy-low option considering the talent he brings to the table. He does face Tyler Mahle who has some K upside(26% K rate) but has given up four earned runs in back to back starts and an average exit velocity of 93 mph on the season with a 54% hard contact rate. St. Louis should put up some runs in this one and Carpenter will likely be right in the middle of it and is a great play in all formats.
Dozier was drafted in the first round, eighth overall in 2013 and has slowly progressed and now appears ready for a full major league season. Through 21 games, he has walked at an elite 15% rate and sits with a eye-popping .324/.430/.676 slash line. The power has also been there as he leads the team with seven home runs and has produced an average exit velocity of 93 mph which is 12th among all qualified hitters. He is expensive on both sits but has proved his worth and is a great play in all formats.
Given the other options on this slate, it will be very hard to fade Jorge Polanco in this spot. He is off to a scorching hot start for the Twins slashing .366/.424/.695 with five home runs, 10 RBI, and 15 runs scored. He is a switch hitter and has absolutely tore up righties since the start of last season to the tune of a .402 wOBA, 154 wRC+, and .944 OPS. I mentioned the elite matchup above against Dan Straily and that puts Polanco at the top of my SS rankings on the main slate.
There are definitely shortstops higher up on my list tonight(Mondesi, Anderson, Baez) but I side with Beckham from a PTS/$ perspective. He has hit down in the lineup for the most part this season but has been a key contributor hitting .304 and getting on base at .385 clip. The consistency is just the start as he has also flashed big upside with six home runs while already driving in 19 and scoring 17 runs. Against a lefty, he is in play in all formats.
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