bmw championship

Daily Fantasy PGA Picks for DraftKings and FanDuel - Mayakoba Golf Classic

This week the PGA Tour heads south to the El Camaleon Golf Course in Playa Del Carmen, Mexico for the Mayakoba Golf Classic. Let’s jump in and preview the course and look at some of the top plays in each price range for cash games and GPP’s.

Daily Fantasy PGA Picks for DraftKings and FanDuel - Shriners Hospitals for Children Open

Below you will see a preview of our weekly DFS PGA article including one of our top tier picks for the week. To see the complete article which breaks down the course, trends, top stats, and top picks for cash and GPP formats you must be a member. Not a RotoPros member yet? Sign up today to get your FREE two-week trial.

Gary Woodland(DK - $9,700 FD - $11,600)

I will be once again going a more balanced approach in cash games and it starts with Gary Woodland who is seventh in salary on both sites. He finished T18 here last year in his first trip to TPC Summerlin and comes into this years event with tremendous form as he finished the playoffs with a T12 and T11 at the BMW and Tour Championship. That carried over into the fall season as he has a T5 at the CIMB Classic and runner-up at the CJ Cup. He is also 2nd in my stats model this week ranking 7th in SG: Ball Striking, 4th in Par 4 Scoring, 8th in Par 5 Scoring, and 2nd in Birdie or Better %. He checks all the boxes and is #1 in my overall model and I will have exposure in all formats.

Daily Fantasy PGA Picks for DraftKings and FanDuel - WGC HSBC Champions

Below you will see a preview of our weekly DFS PGA article including one of our top tier picks for the week. To see the complete article which breaks down the course, trends, top stats, and top picks for cash and GPP formats you must be a member. Not a RotoPros member yet? Sign up today to get your FREE two-week trial.

Tony Finau(DK - $9,900 FD - $10,800)

Finau is one of just three players in the field to rank Top 10 in all three categories(Course History, Current Form, Stats) on my cheatsheet. In his first trip here last year, he finished T11 in some tough scoring conditions and comes into this years event with some excellent form. He is coming off a T10 at the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship and closed out the PGA Tour season with a Top 10 finish in three of the four playoff events. Last but not least, he is 8th in the stats model ranking 10th in SG: OTT, 12th in SG: APP, 8th in Proximity from 200+ Yards, 9th in Par 5 Scoring, and 22nd in Birdie or Better %. He is a player I will be building around for cash games and also sprinkling in GPP’s as well.

Daily Fantasy PGA Picks for DraftKings and FanDuel - CJ Cup @ Nine Bridges

Welcome back golf fans. This week the PGA Tour heads to JeJu Island for the CJ Cup @ Nine Bridges. Let’s dig in and preview the course and top stats then look at a few of the top targets in each price range.

Daily Fantasy PGA Picks for DraftKings and FanDuel - CIMB Classic

Welcome back golf fans. The second event of the 2018-19 season is also the first of a three-event swing through Asia. It starts with the CIMB Classic from TPC Kuala Lumpur in Malaysia. Let’s take a look at the course and then some top cash and GPP plays in each price range.

Daily Fantasy PGA Picks for DraftKings and FanDuel - Safeway open

The PGA Tour is back for the start of another season. Kicking things off is a trip to wine country in Napa, California for the Safeway Open. Let’s preview the course and take a look at some of the top plays in each price range.

Daily Fantasy PGA Picks for DraftKings and FanDuel - Tour Championship

The final event of the 2017-18 season has arrived as the Top 30 players in the standings head to East Lake Golf Club for the Tour Championship. Those players seated inside the Top 5 of the standings have the best opportunity as a win at the Tour Championship guarantees them the FedEx Cup and the $10,000,000 payday. That doesn’t mean the other players can’t win it just means there path to the FedEx Cup is much harder. Check out the scenarios HERE.

The course is on the longer end of the Par 70 spectrum at 7,346 yards. You would this would give an advantage to the long hitters and it does somewhat but keep in mind the fairways here are narrow with medium to hard rough so hitting the fairways is key. If you are targeting long hitters, make sure they also have some accuracy on their side. On the other hand, if you are targeting shorter hitters with accuracy make sure they are good with their long irons as they will likely have lots of approaches from 1750-200 and 200+ yards. The other thing I will be keying in on this week is Par 4 scoring as there are 12 of them on this Par 70 course with six of them coming in the 450+ yard range.

Before jumping into the picks, be sure to get your copy of my DFS PGA Cheatsheet which highlights a ton of advanced stats, course history, current form and puts it all together into a customizable model. If you have any questions about the sheet or anything involving daily fantasy golf be sure to join me in the RotoPros Slack Chat. Not a member? Be sure to get over to RotoPros.com and get your FREE two-week trial. Let's get into the picks! 

Top Tier Targets

Justin Rose(DK - $11,400 FD - $11,200)

Rose opened the Playoffs with a missed cut at the Northern Trust but has rebounded in a big way finishing runner-up at the Dell Technologies Championship and BMW Championship. He now will look to cap off a tremendous season at East lake where he has had a ton of success in the past with five straight Top 10’s and three Top 5 finishes. In that time, he leads all golfers in the field in SG: Total, SG: Tee to Green, SG: Approach, and 3rd in DraftKings scoring. Given there are some very good players in this small field priced down in the mid $7K to sub $7K range(DraftKings), it will not be hard to build lineups around Rose in all formats.

Brooks Koepka(DK - $10,000 FD - $11,300)

Koepka comes in to the week ranked 7th in the FedEx Cup standings so he isn’t guaranteed to win the FedEx Cup with a win but it is pretty close. He came back form an early season back injury and ended up having an amazing season winning both the US Open and PGA Championship, finishing Top 5 at the WGC Bridgestone, 2nd at the Fort Worth Invitational and only missed one cut in 13 stroke-play events. Looking at my mixed condition model over at Fantasy National Golf Club, Koepka sits 4th overall with ranks of 2nd in SG: Ball Striking, 3rd in DraftKings scoring, and 1st in SG: Off the Tee over the last 24 rounds. He is the lowest priced golfer in the top tier on DraftKings and a great play in all formats.

Mid Tier Targets

Francesco Molinari(DK - $8,200 FD - $10,300)

After missing the cut at the opening playoff event(The Northern Trust) followed by a week off, I wrote up Molinari last week and after an opening round 70 he bounced back to finish T8. We need upside in a small event like this and Molinari delivers just that as he has three worldwide wins(OPEN Championship, BMW PGA, Quicken Loans National) since missing the cut at the PLAYERS back in May. He has never played here at East Lake but looking at the mixed condition model, he coes in 2nd overall with ranks of 2nd in SG: Par 4, 3rd in SG: Ball Striking, 9th in SG: OTT, and 9th in DraftKings scoring. At these prices, Molinari is most definitely in my core this week on both sites.

Tony Finau(DK - $8,600 FD - $10,300)

Despite not being able to finish and pick up a win in 2018, Tony Finau is having a terrific season and enters the Tour Championship as the #3 seed. Through 25 stroke-play events, he has missed just three cuts with 10 Top 10 finishes including each of the three playoff events so far. In those three playoff events, he has shot rounds under 70 in all 12 and in 18 of his last 20 rounds overall. He finished 7th here last year, ranks Top 5 in my mixed condition model and will also be a core player for me this week.

Value Target

Patrick Cantlay(DK - $7,100 FD - $8,900)

There is a ton of value in the sub $7.5K range this week with such a small field and if you are looking to differentiate yourself, just go against course history and/or form. Cantlay happens to have both this week as he finished T20 here in his first trip to East lake last year and comes in with T24 at the Dell Technologies Championship and a T55 at the BMW Championship. He is likely to be the 5th highest owned in this range and I will take that risk as he sits 11th in my overall mixed condition model ranking 13th in SG: Par 4, 6th in SG: Ball Striking, and 3rd in SG: Off the Tee.

Also Consider: Xander Schauffele who won here last year, Paul Casey who has three straight Top 5’s here at East lake

Daily Fantasy PGA Picks for DraftKings and FanDuel - BMW Championship

There is a freight train rolling through the FedEx Cup Playoffs right now and his name is Bryson DeChambeau. He has won the first two events with a combined score of -34 while gaining 27.8 strokes total, eight full strokes more than Finau and Cam Smith in second. He now has a whopping 2,328 point lead on Dustin Johnson in the standings. Can anyone stop him from taking home the FedEx Cup and 10 million dollar paycheck? We will soon find out. 

The Playoffs roll on as the Top 70 golfers in the standings will tee it up this week at the BMW Championship. The course for this event rotates yearly and this week will be hosted at Aronimink Golf Club outside of Philadelphia, PA. Course history will be heavily downgraded this week as the course has not been used on Tour since the 2010 and 2011 AT&T National. The other big factor that changes things for those who have played the Donald Ross designed course in the past is that Gil Hanse performed a renovation in 2016 which saw widening of the fairways, the addition of about 100 bunkers, and the greens were also made bigger. 

From a fantasy perspective, I will be weighing Strokes Gained: Approach over the Off the Tee metrics as the fairways hit % should be high leaving this mostly a second shot course. Breaking down those Approach stats, I think Proximity stands out the most with the large green sizes that are also undulated. Weather permitting, I also think the winning score will be lower than it was in 2010(-10) and 2011(-13) meaning Birdie or Better % will also be very important. Finally, with this being a Par 70 it has 12 Par 4 holes and seven of those holes fall between 400 and 450 yards so keep that in mind when building your models. 

Before jumping into the picks, be sure to get your copy of my DFS PGA Cheatsheet which highlights a ton of advanced stats, course history, current form and puts it all together into a customizable model. If you have any questions about the sheet or anything involving daily fantasy golf be sure to join me in the RotoPros Slack Chat. Not a member? Be sure to get over to RotoPros.com and get your FREE two-week trial. Let's get into the picks! 

Top Tier Targets

Dustin Johnson(DK - $11,600 FD - $12,400)

I am going right back to the #1 player in the world this week after a T7 finish at the Dell Technologies Championship last week. Like the opening Playoff event, he once again had a disappointing Saturday 72 but the good news is that he once again had a ton of birdies(22) and ranked 6th overall in Strokes Gained: Ball Striking and 7th in DraftKings scoring. I doubt he will be as low owned this week but almost no one has the same upside and with the values on both sites, he makes a great play in all formats.

Justin Rose(DK - $11,200 FD - $11,00)

Rose bounced back in a big way after missing the cut at the Northern Trust. He opened with a 65 on Friday and after two other rounds under 70, ended up with a runner-up finish at the Dell Technologies Championship. He ranks third in the FedEx Cup Cup standings going into the final event before the Tour Championship and staying inside that Top 5 is huge. He will likely be chalky this week for those looking back at course history as he played here both years I talked about finishing T15 in 2011 and winning the AT&T National in 2010. He is in play on both sites but has much better value on FanDuel as the fifth most expensive golfer(2nd on DraftKings).

Mid Tier Targets

Francesco Molinari(DK - $8,800 FD - $10,800)

Molinari returns to the playoffs after taking a week off at the Dell Technologies Championship following his missed cut at the Northern Trust. Before that missed cut he was one of the hottest players in the world as he picked up three wins and six total Top 10's in an eight worldwide event stretch. Looking at the last 24 rounds data, he ranks 1st in SG: Total, 2nd in SG: Approach(19th in Prox), 1st in Par 4 Scoring(6th from 400-450 yards), and 4th in DraftKings scoring. At these prices in a smaller field, Molinari is a great play in all formats.

Billy Horschel(DK - $8,000 FD - $8,300)

If you are looking to make a GPP pivot in the mid-range this week get Billy Horschel in your lineups. There is a good chance he is lower owned than last week(9% average) as he withdrew causing an uproar on DFS PGA Twitter. I am not too concerned as it does not seem like a big issue going forward and he fits the model well rank 2nd in SG: Approach, 10th in Par 4 scoring, 3rd in Proximity, and 17th in DraftKings scoring over the last 24 rounds. Recency bias is a real thing and if people will be avoiding him I think we can take advantage with a player with some upside that also comes at a discount in this smaller field.

Value Targets

C.T. Pan(DK - $6,900 FD - $8,300)

By the looks of the tag counts over at FanShareSports, Pan will be one of the highest owned golfers this week and it is easy to see why. First of all, he has been very consistent making six straight and 11 of his last 12 cuts and has flashed big upside recently with Top 5 finishes in two of his last three events(T4 last week). Looking at the last 24 rounds data(via Fantasy National Golf Club), he ranks 17th in SG: Total, 12th in SG: Approach, 6th in Par 4 Scoring(8th form 400-450 yards), and 16th in DraftKings scoring. Considering all that data, he is underpriced on both sites(45th on DK, 43rd on FD) compared to his win odds(33rd best) and a great play in all formats.

Jason Kokrak(DK - $6,900 FD - $7,700)

Kokrak doesn't really stand out from an overall statistical standpoint but he comes in with his best form since the wrap-around portion of the season last fall. He has made five straight cuts dating back to the RBC Canadian Open and during that stretch sits 13th in average DraftKings points per event(79.2). One stat that does stand out recently is the Approach game as he ranks 8th in SG: Approach and 17th in Proximity over the last 24 rounds. He is another nice option that allows you to pay up for multiple mid to top tier players in GPP formats.