draftkings pga picks

Daily Fantasy Golf Course Breakdown - Rocket Mortgage Classic

This week the PGA Tour heads to Detroit Golf Club for the Rocket Mortgage Classic. It doesn’t sound familiar for a reason as it is a new event on Tour and the first in the state of Michigan since the 2009 Buick Open. The first thing this means we will toss out Course History in the model and will concentrate much more on form coming into this event. The other piece of the puzzle is figuring out how the course will play and what stats we should concentrate on and what types of players can succeed here. Let’s take a look at the course.

The Detroit Golf Club is a 36-hole property with the North and South courses, both designed by Donald Ross, being the center of attention this week. The grounds crew/team has meshed the two together and added some new tee boxes to lengthen the course and it will play as a 7,340 yard Par 72 for the event. The challenge off the tee comes with some tight driving holes combined with strategic bunkering in landing zones. This gives golfers options whether they want to be aggressive and fly the bunkers or lay back with a 3-wood or driving iron and ensure a fairway but have a longer approach shot. The other challenge off the tee which will probably force a lot of “less than driver” strategies is the rough. In a video via the Course Reports on YouTube, Jake Mendoza(head superintendent) talks about growing the rough out from it’s regular 2.5” height up to 3 - 3.5” to start the event with no plans on cutting throughout the weekend. That is longer than tour average and could create some tough lies if golfers are missing the fairway.

Once finding the fairway, golfers will be looking at approach shots with a ton of varying distances with four Par 4’s under 400 yards, four over 450 yards, and two right in the middle. Then add in those using driver vs. those laying back with woods or irons. Because of this, I will be looking at overall Stokes Gained: Approach and Proximity numbers and also adding Rough Proximity to my model with a driving accuracy around 55% projected.

The greens at Detroit Golf Club are slightly smaller than Tour average and are a combination of Poa Annua mixed with around 15-20% Bentgrass. While they are on the smaller side, many of the greens are uniquely undulated and the crew is also cutting them to achieve speeds of 12-12.5 on the stimpmeter. All in all, they are going to be running very fast. With the combination of tough fairways to hit and smaller green complexes with undulation, I would expect the average GIR to be lower than average which will put emphasis on Scrambling and Strokes Gained: Around the Green.

To see an excellent hole by hole flyover of the course, check out the video below:

To discuss the course, stats, targets, strategies, or anything fantasy golf make sure to join me in the RotoPros community chat. Not a member yet? Make sure to get over to www.rotopros.com and get your free trial today.


Course

Course.PNG

Key Stats

*Stats from my sheet and Fantasy National*

  • Strokes Gained: Approach

  • Rough Proximity

  • Fairways Gained/Strokes Gained: Off the Tee

  • Strokes Gained: Around the Green

  • Par 4 Scoring

Weather Update

Click   HERE   for an updated forecast!

Click HERE for an updated forecast!

Daily Fantasy Golf Course Breakdown for the 119th U.S. Open at Pebble Beach

From one countries National Open to another as the players shift their focus from the RBC Canadian Open to the 119th U.S. Open. The third Major of the season takes the Tour and the best players in the world to the iconic Pebble Beach Golf Links for the sixth time as the host of the United States Open. As with every Major, the field is absolutely loaded and is led by World #1 Brooks Koepka and World #2 Dustin Johnson who have combined to win the last three U.S. Opens and could have been four(DJ choke at Chambers Bay). The field of 156 players will be cut down to the Top 60 and ties(no MDF) after round two.

While we are very familiar with the course with the Annual PGA Tour stop for the Pebble Beach Pro Am, it is going to be much different for the U.S. Open. First of all, the Pro-Am event is played with a three-course rotation and only players making the cut get two cracks at Pebble. The course will also be playing much different this week as well as the USGA and grounds team at Pebble have grown out the rough and narrowed the fairways which is going to put a ton of emphasis on hitting fairways to have any chance at hitting the green in regulation and having a birdie chance. The greens are also very small at Pebble which also puts a ton of emphasis on approach shots that will come from many different distances as there are four Par 4’s list under 400 yards, four between 400 and 450 yards, one between 450 and 500 yards, and two over 500 yards. That includes the monster 2nd hole(516 yards) that was converted from a Par 5 making the course a Par 71 for this event. With the small, undulating greens and emphasis on hitting fairways which could lead to some irons off the tee, not even the top players will hit every green. This has me also weighing in some Scrambling/Stroke Gained: Around the Green stats into my model along with putting performance on Poa greens.

Overall, this course will be testing every facet of a players game this week so narrowing down key stats is very tough. What I have found to work best is run a few different models and find the players who pop up in all or the majority of those.

From a lineup construction standpoint, we can go a ton of different ways as the pricing is once again fairly soft for a major championship. With just 60 players(plus ties) making the cut out of 156 total, getting 6 out of 6 through the cut will be harder than normal. With that, I will be building a more balanced cash lineup this week and it is much easier doing this as so many players come in underpriced with the soft pricing.

To discuss the course, stats, targets, strategies, or anything fantasy golf make sure to join me in the RotoPros community chat. Not a member yet? Make sure to get over to www.rotopros.com and get your free trial today.

Let’s take a look at some of the course info, previous winners, and then jump into the picks.

Previous Five Winners

  • 2018(Shinnecock Hills) - Brooks Koepka (+1)

  • 2017(Erin Hills) - Brooks Koepka (-16)

  • 2016(Oakmont) - Dustin Johnson (-4)

  • 2015(Chambers Bay) - Jordan Spieth (-5)

  • 2014(Pinehurst) - Martin Kaymer (-9)

  • 2010 U.S. Open(Pebble Beach) - Graeme McDowell (E)

Course

Check out a hole by hole breakdown plus flyover video by clicking      HERE

Check out a hole by hole breakdown plus flyover video by clicking HERE

Approach Shot Distribution

Data sourced from      Fantasy National Golf Club

Data sourced from Fantasy National Golf Club


Key Stats

*Stats from my sheet and Fantasy National*

  • Strokes Gained: Approach

  • Fairways Gained

  • Strokes Gained: Around the Green

  • Par 4 Scoring

  • Par 5 Birdie or Better %

  • Putting Performance on Poa


Thanks for checking out the article and if you have any questions about the cheatsheet, players I listed, or anything DFS PGA related at all please reach out in the RotoPros Community Chat or on Twitter(@Jager_Bombs9). Not a RotoPros member yet? Be sure to get over and SIGN UP for your FREE two-week trial. You won’t be disappointed.

Daily Fantasy Golf Core Plays for DraftKings and FanDuel - the Memorial

Daily Fantasy Golf Core Plays for DraftKings and FanDuel - the Memorial

This week the PGA Tour heads to Dublin, Ohio and Muirfield Village Golf Club for the 2019 Memorial Tournament. Let’s jump in and preview the course, look at the weather, key stats, and then look at some core plays in each price range.

Daily Fantasy Golf Core Plays for DraftKings and FanDuel - Valspar Championship

The Florida Swing continues this week with the Valspar Championship from Innisbrook Resort(Copperhead Course). Let’s jump in and preview the course and look at some targets for cash games and GPP’s in each price range.

Daily Fantasy Golf Core Plays for DraftKings and FanDuel - Arnold Palmer Invitational

This week the PGA Tour heads to Orlando, Florida and the Bay Hill Club & Lodge for the Arnold Palmer Invitational. Let’s jump in and preview the course, top trends, weather, and then look at some core plays for cash games and GPP’s in each price range.

Daily Fantasy PGA Picks for DraftKings and FanDuel - AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am

This week the PGA Tour is back to a three course rotation for the AT&T Pebble Beach Golf Links. Each player and their amateur partner will play one round on each of the courses(Pebble Beach, Monterey Peninsula, Spyglass Hill) with the final round being played on Pebble Beach. The cut is also structured a bit different this week with the Top 60 and ties moving on to the Sunday final round. Let’s jump into the picks!

Daily Fantasy PGA Picks for DraftKings and FanDuel - Farmers Insurance Open

This week the PGA Tour heads to San Diego, California for the Farmers Insurance Open. Let’s jump in and take a look at the previous winners, the courses, key stats, weather forecast, and then get into the picks.

Daily Fantasy PGA Picks for DraftKings and FanDuel - Desert Classic

This week the PGA Tour heads back to the mainland for the 60th Anniversary of the Desert Classic, formerly known as the CareerBuilder Challenge, Humana Challenge, and most famously, the Bob Hope Classic.Let’s dig in and preview the course, trends, top stats, and then look at some of the top cash game and GPP targets in each price range.

Daily Fantasy PGA Picks for DraftKings and FanDuel - Sony Open

This week the PGA Tour stays in Hawaii but travels to Waialae Country Club in Honolulu for the Sony Open. It is the first event of the 2019 season with a full field of players meaning we are back to a cut of the Top 70 and ties after the second round on Friday. This year’s field includes two of the Top 5(Justin Thomas & Bryson DeChambeau) and 20 of the World’s Top 50 golfers. Let’s dig in.