Daily Fantasy NASCAR Preview and Picks for DraftKings – Dixie Vodka 400

Each week Dane brings you his preview article and in addition, we also have a DFS NASCAR cheatsheet where both Dane and Chris rank their top plays in each price range. To get access to this sheet and our Slack chat, grab a FREE trial and use promo code “RP50” and get 50% off your first payment. With that, let’s jump into the article.

Daily Fantasy NASCAR Preview and Picks for DraftKings – Dixie Vodka 400

The NASCAR season rolls on this weekend in Miami. Homestead used to be the Championship race but now it has been moved to earlier in the year. This is a fun track to watch as drivers take different lines and try to make them work throughout the race. 

The way I plan to structure this article each week is to talk about strategy for the track we are at and then dive into each price range. I will probably give my favorite play or 2 from each range but I really want the focus to be on strategy. NASCAR only has 40 drivers in each race so I’m not going to write up half the field. Let’s dive in!

I do a lot of my weekly research over at Fantasy Racing Cheat Sheet (https://frcs.pro). They give you a great database to sort out stats so you can see who has good track form along with track type history. They really have all the tools you would want to analyze what drivers are trending and how they match up with the race ahead. Be sure to check them out!

Overall Strategy

At this track we look for drivers who are good on steep tracks. We do see a decent amount of tire fall off but nothing like we do at a track like Darlington. This is a fun strategy race to watch play out. 

I am looking for 2-3 dominators in my lineups tomorrow. Place differential is important, but we can’t forget our dominators. We haven’t had a race this year that we are focusing on dominators so hopefully we get a good amount of new players who don’t fully understand this strategy.

$10K + Range

  • Kyle Larson ($10,700) Starting 17th – This has always been one of Larson’s best tracks and now he is in better equipment than he has ever had here. There is no way I can fade him tomorrow as I think this is going to be a breakout year for him. He has some place differential floor to go along with his upside of leading a good portion of this race. 

Notables: Chase Elliott, Kevin Harvick

$8K and $9K Range

  • Tyler Reddick ($8,500) Starting 35th – He will be popular but is definitely one of my favorite plays tomorrow. He was 4th here a year ago and he also had two wins here when he won championships in the Xfinity series. No chance I am fading him tomorrow starting in the back. He has top 5-10 upside. 
  • Matt DiBenedetto ($8,800) Starting 37th – Matty D has steadily improved here at Homestead and now starting this far back gives us a big floor and upside. It is hard to go away from him as well, even though he will be popular. Maybe to get a bit different you play one of these two guys in a lineup. 

Notables: Denny Hamlin

$6K and $7K Range

  • Austin Dillon ($7,700) Starting 22nd – Austin has a very strong history here and has a great price for us this weekend. I love the RCR stack of him and Reddick. 6 straight top 15s for Austin at Homestead and has steadily improved each race. 
  • Aric Almirola ($7,900) Starting 16th – Stewart Haas has had some good success at Homestead, especially Kevin Harvick. Almirola hasn’t been too shabby himself and at sub $8k I like him this week with some nice upside. You could even pair him with Harvick for the team correlation. 

Notables: Ryan Newman

Below $6K Range

  • Daniel Suarez ($5,700) Starting 21st – I hardly played Suarez last year, but I believe that his equipment is a step up this season. At this price a top 15 would be a great finish for us and I think it is definitely doable. 

Notables: Corey LaJoie, Anthony Alfredo

If you guys have any questions please let me know in the Slack! Good luck to everyone this week!

Daily Fantasy Golf – Dane’s Darts for the WGC Workday Championship

Each week Dane brings you his preview article and in addition, we also have a DFS PGA cheatsheet where both Dane and Chris rank their top plays in each price range. To get access to this sheet and our Slack chat, grab a FREE trial and use promo code “RP50” and get 50% off your first payment. With that, let’s jump into the article.

Dane’s Darts for the WGC Workday Championship

A four-day no-cut event comes to us this week at The Concession Golf Club in Bradenton, FL. There are a few different strategies when it comes to WGCs and I will get into that below. We have a very exciting stretch of golf coming up as we get ready to see The Players next month. 

As mentioned last week, my goal for this article is to break down each price range from a strategy/lineup construction standpoint. Once I do that, I will list a couple of my favorite plays in the range. I really want to help you by talking through how we can be different through construction and not necessarily just taking 3-4 < 5% owned players. That is one way I have really improved in DFS golf, understanding that you only must be different to a point. I usually focus on lower entry max GPPs (single entry, 3 maxes, and 5 maxes) but will speak to certain plays that are better in larger fields and cash games.  

I build my models and do a lot of my early week research over at Fantasy National. If you haven’t checked them out, I would highly recommend giving them a shot. It is really a great place to build your own custom models based on the things that you think are important for the week. If you have a certain inclination that one stat will be more important than another you are able to weigh it higher and build out your own model in that way. You can check out their site at www.fantasynational.com.

Overall Strategy

In no-cut events, I tend to go a bit more stars and scrubs. This is because everyone will get to play four rounds and if the cheaper guys are making you birdies they will pay off. There are some nice looking plays in the $7k and $6k range that will make this a bit easier to do this week. Scoring becomes much more important when guys play four rounds. You will have guys this week that finish around 20th but are top 10 in terms of DK scoring. This leads me to guys who are a bit more aggressive and make a good amount of birdies.

$10K + Range

  • Justin Thomas ($10,500) – I like this week for a bounce-back for JT. He has been struggling a bit since the death of his grandfather but we know he is one of the top players in the world. He crushes WGC events and maybe we get a little bit lower ownership on him this week.

Notables: Jon Rahm

$8K and $9K Range

  • Collin Morikawa ($9,000) – I will be right back on Morkikawa this week. He was number two in the field last week in SG: APP and just couldn’t putt. He changed grips last week and I am just hoping he can putt field average this week and he will be right in the mix.
  • Joaquin Niemann ($8,100) – Niemann had a strong week last week but struggled in the windy 3rd round. I am happy to go back to him at a more than fair price here. He is a guy who can make birdies and I expect him to outscore his finishing position this week (unless he wins).

Notables: Viktor Hovland, Brooks Koepka

$7K Range

  • Justin Rose ($7,700) – This is a nice price for Rose this week. He hasn’t played over here since November, but has played three weeks in Europe improving each week. He finished second at the Saudi International behind Dustin Johnson. 

Notables: Ryan Palmer, Jason Day

$6K Range

  • Lanto Griffin ($6,700) – I like a few guys in this range this week and it starts with Lanto. He has strung together a couple good finishes and I think he is a consistent guy we can go right back to this week.
  • Abraham Ancer ($6,800) – Struggled last week trying to knock off a few weeks worth of rust but this price is super enticing. I don’t remember the last time he was below $7,000 and just had a 5th at the AMEX in January. 
  • Victor Perez ($6,900) – Perez is very boom or bust in my eyes but is a guy who really crushes on the Euro Tour. He had a very good finish his last time out finishing 4th in Saudi. He can make tons of birdies and I like that he does have a top 5 in a WGC last year. 

If you guys have any questions please let me know in the Slack! Be sure to listen to this week’s RotoPros PGA Video where Chris and I break down the course, weather and some of our favorite plays. 

Daily Fantasy NASCAR Preview and Picks for DraftKings – Daytona 500

IT’S TIME. After NASCAR’s long offseason (joke), we get the biggest race of the year. What other sport starts out their season with the biggest event of the year? This is my favorite event on the schedule and it should be everyones. It’s hard for any other race to replicate the action and history that comes with the Daytona 500. Every driver in the field would do anything to win and that is what makes the last quarter of this race the most exciting. Sometimes it causes utter chaos. I almost guarantee we will see some blocks made that cause “The Big One”. Due to this, the race almost becomes unpredictable. Where we can really gain an edge at Daytona is by building our lineups in a way that we are positioned to take advantage of the craziness.

The way I plan to structure this article each week is to talk about strategy for the track we are at and then dive into each price range. I will probably give my favorite play or 2 from each range but I really want the focus to be on strategy. NASCAR only has 40 drivers in each race so I’m not going to write up half the field. Let’s dive in!

I do a lot of my weekly research over at Fantasy Racing Cheat Sheet (https://frcs.pro). They give you a great database to sort out stats so you can see who has good track form along with track type history. They really have all the tools you would want to analyze what drivers are trending and how they match up with the race ahead. Be sure to check them out!

TRACK STRATEGY

Superspeedways are a different beast when it comes to DFS NASCAR. If you read my strategy article on the site, then you will know the difference in a dominator and place differential play. Be sure to check that article out if you haven’t! Here at Daytona we are going to be loading up on place differential guys. I expect laps led and fastest laps to be spread out through the field, which mitigates the chance that someone will be a dominator. Something I will do in my 20-max build is limit the number of drivers I have in my lineups starting towards the front. In most of my lineups I will only have max 1 driver starting in the top 10. This is due to the downside that they present in a race that can be this chaotic. 2-4 drivers in my lineups will most likely be starting 25th on back. This is where we can really find place differential guys that have the upside to move ahead a bunch of positions. I will touch on how each driver matches my plan for building below. 

Something that we have been seeing is manufacturers/teams working together a lot. I do expect that we will see that in this race as well and can make sense as a form of a stack. I will have some stacks as we have seen drivers hook up and go to the front. If you have a group of 2 or 3 guys who do that on the last lap then that could win you a tournament. 

As far as contest selection for the week, it is important to make as many lineups as you can. Obviously, stay within your bankroll but DraftKings has some nice 20-max contests at different levels. With the unpredictability of this race it is tough to only play one single entry. I also will not be playing any cash games for the same reason. My plan is to play the 20-maxes and then some single entry tournaments, so this is how my strategy talk will be geared. 

The last thing I will say on strategy is don’t be afraid to leave a bunch of money on the table and don’t be scared to play some of these driver’s with smaller teams that aren’t necessarily in the best equipment. The guys starting in the very back can move up 10-15 spots basically just due to wrecks and pay off their price tag. Another thing to keep in mind with them is that they will probably all just ride together in the back and stay out of trouble in this race. Not wrecking is half the battle in the Daytona 500. If you all have any questions regarding strategy feel free to hit me up in Slack. Building lineups in the correct way will give you the biggest edge this weekend.

$10K+ RANGE

Of the 4 highest priced drivers we have 2 Penske Fords, a Joe Gibbs Toyota and a Hendrick Chevy. All of these drivers are staring outside the top 10 for their starting spot and I will have some of all of these guys.

  • Denny Hamlin ($10,400) Starting 25th – My favorite of this range is the guy who has won the Daytona 500 3 of the last 5 years and twice in a row. He starts in the middle of the field and becomes a good place differential play. The history Denny has here is wild when you consider how crazy this race is. Something we saw last year with the Toyotas was that they rode around together in the back of the field to try to avoid wrecks through a lot of this race. This is something that gives me more interest in these guys. Denny is my favorite pay up option for Sunday.

Notables: Brad Keselowski

$8K AND $9K RANGE

Here I plan on mixing and matching based on how each driver fits into my lineup. A lot of the drivers in this range start in the top 10, which shows you why I say I will be leaving a decent amount of money on the table.

  • Martin Truex Jr. ($9,300) Starting 26th – Truex starts back here with his teammate Hamlin and they should hook up and ride for a while. Truex has had some bad luck here at Daytona but has seemed to always be in contention until the luck falls against him. I’m more than happy to go back with the upside he possess with this starting spot. 
  • Kyle Larson ($8,500) Starting 13th – Larson is a guy who starts fairly far forward but still has some upside and I think he is in line for a very strong year with Hendrick Motorsports. We know they have fast cars this weekend and Larson may surprise people with a top finish here. I don’t expect him to be super popular, but I will definitely have my fair share. 

Notables: Kurt Busch

$7K RANGE

I really like 2 plays in this range. The only guy I will probably use 0 of is Ryan Newman. I just don’t like how far up he is starting. 7th makes it really hard for him to pay off. I will mix in Jones, Dillon and Buesher as they fit since they are all starting in the teens. 

  • Ross Chastain ($7,800) Starting 34th – Ross is a guy who usually runs pretty well at Daytona and now he gets a step up in equipment from what he usually runs here. With Chip Ganassi, he will work with Kurt Busch and the other Chevys and starting this far back can pay off for us. He will go to a backup car due to some trouble in the duels, but that doesn’t worry me a bit.
  • Tyler Reddick ($7,100) Starting 29th – Reddick was very good here in Xfinity so you know he knows how to get around this place in the draft. I hope people will be scared off by his Cup finishes here and I will go back at this price and starting position. 

Notables: Matt DiBenedetto, Erik Jones

BELOW $7K RANGE

In this range we get some of the rookies and as we know they are always a bit risky here at Daytona. It is hard for them to find guys to work with other than their teammates. I do think I will have some exposure to a few of them because of their starting positions. 

  • Chris Buescher ($6,900) Starting 22nd – 5 top 10s in his last 7 trips to Daytona and starts mid pack for us here. He has nice upside and has shown the ability to make it to the end (not trying to jinx him). 
  • Chase Briscoe ($6,600) Starting 30th – We know he has the equipment, but we also know he is risky as a rookie here. I will gamble on the starting spot with him and hope he can hook up with his Ford teammates and ride to the front near the end of this race. 

Notables: Michael McDowell, Austin Cindric

Please feel free to hit me up with questions in Slack. I am looking forward to a great season so lets kick it off right in Daytona!