Each week Dane brings you his preview article and in addition, we also have a DFS PGA cheatsheet where both Dane and Chris rank their top plays in each price range. To get access to this sheet and our Slack chat, grab a FREE trial and use promo code “RP50” and get 50% off your first payment. With that, let’s jump into the article.
Dane’s Darts for the RBC Heritage
Coming off a big week at the Masters, the tour heads to Hilton Head for the RBC Heritage. This tournament was later in the year in 2020 due to being the second event back after the layoff, but now returns to its normal slot on the schedule the week after the Masters. We have a pretty strong field and I am looking forward to a fun event this week.
As mentioned, my goal for this article is to break down each price range from a strategy/lineup construction standpoint. Once I do that, I will list a couple of my favorite plays in the range. I really want to help you by talking through how we can be different through construction and not necessarily just taking 3-4 < 5% owned players. That is one way I have really improved in DFS golf, understanding that you only must be different to a point. I usually focus on lower entry max GPPs (single entry, 3 maxes, and 5 maxes) but will speak to certain plays that are better in larger fields and cash games.
I build my models and do a lot of my early week research over at Fantasy National. If you haven’t checked them out, I would highly recommend giving them a shot. It is really a great place to build your own custom models based on the things that you think are important for the week. If you have a certain inclination that one stat will be more important than another you are able to weigh it higher and build out your own model in that way. You can check out their site at www.fantasynational.com.
Harbour Town GL is a narrow course with small greens that, over the years has favored accuracy players. I am favoring golfers who can play strategic off the tee over just complete bombers. I don’t think anyone can just go out and overpower this place. Again, with some of the top players in the world, I feel that they can adapt to any type of course so I mean this more for guys lower down the price tiers.
Approach play is always important here and you want to see guys who are able to hit these small greens to give themselves birdie chances. I threw in a bit of around the green play into my model as well since players are sure to miss at least a few more greens than normal.
Putting is something I don’t look at very often, but in a tournament like this I am factoring it in just a bit since guys will need to not only convert on birdie chances, but also save pars from around the green.
Here is a look at my complete list of key stats for the week:
- SG: Ball Striking
- SG: Approach
- Fairways Gained
- DK Points
- SG: Putting
- SG: ARG
This is an interesting week for strategy coming off a major. Some guys who were in the thick of things last week could certainly be in for a let down this week. It is something I am evaluating on a player by player basis this week. Once you get off the top of the pricing it is important to know what kind of player does well here as mentioned above.
$9K + Range
- Daniel Berger ($10,000) – Berger missed the cut last week so he should come in a bit rested and not mentally exhausted. The event following his last two missed cuts resulted in a 2nd and a win so I am not worried about this MC at all. To go along with that Berger was 3rd here a year ago coming off his win coming off the layoff. Sign me up for some Berger this week.
Notables: Collin Morikawa
$7K and $8K Range
- Abraham Ancer ($8,900) – Ancer fits this course to a tee and was runner up here a year ago after making a strong run at the top. Chris mentioned his strong Pete Dye form in chat earlier and I expect another good week from him here as he comes in with some good current form.
- Sergio Garcia ($8,600) – I am willing to give Sergio a pass for last week and go right back to him here. He has struggled at Augusta since his win and had some very strong form before last week. He was 5th here a year ago on the back of some strong ball striking and I could see him replicating that here.
- Si Woo Kim ($7,900) – If anyone I’m on this week worries me in regards to being mentally drained from last week it’s Si Woo. He was in the thick of things until the end of Saturday and had a very strong showing. His price is right though and he returns to the spot of a near win here in 2018. He is another Pete Dye specialist and should provide us some strong value this week.
Notables: Shane Lowry, Kevin Kisner, Robert MacIntyre
- Matthew NeSmith ($6,900) – NeSmith is from South Carolina and went to college at South Carolina. Oh… and he proposed to his now wife right here at Harbour Town. Talk about ties to the area. He was a guy we were on here last year and he had three very strong rounds, but was hindered a bit by a poor Saturday in contention. I will go right back to him here as he comes in with some more solid form in 2021.
Notables: Doc Redman, Chase Seiffert
If you guys have any questions please let me know in the Slack! Remember to always trust your gut and play the plays that your research leads you to!