Daily Fantasy Golf – Dane’s Darts for the RBC Heritage

Each week Dane brings you his preview article and in addition, we also have a DFS PGA cheatsheet where both Dane and Chris rank their top plays in each price range. To get access to this sheet and our Slack chat, grab a FREE trial and use promo code “RP50” and get 50% off your first payment. With that, let’s jump into the article.

Dane’s Darts for the RBC Heritage

Coming off a big week at the Masters, the tour heads to Hilton Head for the RBC Heritage. This tournament was later in the year in 2020 due to being the second event back after the layoff, but now returns to its normal slot on the schedule the week after the Masters. We have a pretty strong field and I am looking forward to a fun event this week.

As mentioned, my goal for this article is to break down each price range from a strategy/lineup construction standpoint. Once I do that, I will list a couple of my favorite plays in the range. I really want to help you by talking through how we can be different through construction and not necessarily just taking 3-4 < 5% owned players. That is one way I have really improved in DFS golf, understanding that you only must be different to a point. I usually focus on lower entry max GPPs (single entry, 3 maxes, and 5 maxes) but will speak to certain plays that are better in larger fields and cash games.  

I build my models and do a lot of my early week research over at Fantasy National. If you haven’t checked them out, I would highly recommend giving them a shot. It is really a great place to build your own custom models based on the things that you think are important for the week. If you have a certain inclination that one stat will be more important than another you are able to weigh it higher and build out your own model in that way. You can check out their site at www.fantasynational.com.

Overall Strategy

Harbour Town GL is a narrow course with small greens that, over the years has favored accuracy players. I am favoring golfers who can play strategic off the tee over just complete bombers. I don’t think anyone can just go out and overpower this place. Again, with some of the top players in the world, I feel that they can adapt to any type of course so I mean this more for guys lower down the price tiers. 

Approach play is always important here and you want to see guys who are able to hit these small greens to give themselves birdie chances. I threw in a bit of around the green play into my model as well since players are sure to miss at least a few more greens than normal. 

Putting is something I don’t look at very often, but in a tournament like this I am factoring it in just a bit since guys will need to not only convert on birdie chances, but also save pars from around the green.

Here is a look at my complete list of key stats for the week:

Key Stats

  • SG: Ball Striking
  • SG: Approach 
  • Fairways Gained
  • DK Points
  • SG: Putting 
  • SG: ARG
  • Proximity

This is an interesting week for strategy coming off a major. Some guys who were in the thick of things last week could certainly be in for a let down this week. It is something I am evaluating on a player by player basis this week. Once you get off the top of the pricing it is important to know what kind of player does well here as mentioned above.

$9K + Range

  • Daniel Berger ($10,000) – Berger missed the cut last week so he should come in a bit rested and not mentally exhausted. The event following his last two missed cuts resulted in a 2nd and a win so I am not worried about this MC at all. To go along with that Berger was 3rd here a year ago coming off his win coming off the layoff. Sign me up for some Berger this week.

Notables: Collin Morikawa

$7K and $8K Range

  • Abraham Ancer ($8,900) – Ancer fits this course to a tee and was runner up here a year ago after making a strong run at the top. Chris mentioned his strong Pete Dye form in chat earlier and I expect another good week from him here as he comes in with some good current form. 
  • Sergio Garcia ($8,600) – I am willing to give Sergio a pass for last week and go right back to him here. He has struggled at Augusta since his win and had some very strong form before last week. He was 5th here a year ago on the back of some strong ball striking and I could see him replicating that here. 
  • Si Woo Kim ($7,900) – If anyone I’m on this week worries me in regards to being mentally drained from last week it’s Si Woo. He was in the thick of things until the end of Saturday and had a very strong showing. His price is right though and he returns to the spot of a near win here in 2018. He is another Pete Dye specialist and should provide us some strong value this week.

Notables: Shane Lowry, Kevin Kisner, Robert MacIntyre

$6K Range

  • Matthew NeSmith ($6,900) – NeSmith is from South Carolina and went to college at South Carolina. Oh… and he proposed to his now wife right here at Harbour Town. Talk about ties to the area. He was a guy we were on here last year and he had three very strong rounds, but was hindered a bit by a poor Saturday in contention. I will go right back to him here as he comes in with some more solid form in 2021.

Notables: Doc Redman, Chase Seiffert

If you guys have any questions please let me know in the Slack! Remember to always trust your gut and play the plays that your research leads you to!

Daily Fantasy Golf – Dane’s Darts for The Masters

Each week Dane brings you his preview article and in addition, we also have a DFS PGA cheatsheet where both Dane and Chris rank their top plays in each price range. To get access to this sheet and our Slack chat, grab a FREE trial and use promo code “RP50” and get 50% off your first payment. With that, let’s jump into the article.

Dane’s Darts for The Masters

The time has come. The Masters returns after only five months and I couldn’t be more excited. I am glad it has returned to April for 2021 and we are in store for an awesome week. There are so many storylines, as always, and I am ready to break down my thoughts on the week below.

As mentioned, my goal for this article is to break down each price range from a strategy/lineup construction standpoint. Once I do that, I will list a couple of my favorite plays in the range. I really want to help you by talking through how we can be different through construction and not necessarily just taking 3-4 < 5% owned players. That is one way I have really improved in DFS golf, understanding that you only must be different to a point. I usually focus on lower entry max GPPs (single entry, 3 maxes, and 5 maxes) but will speak to certain plays that are better in larger fields and cash games.  

I build my models and do a lot of my early week research over at Fantasy National. If you haven’t checked them out, I would highly recommend giving them a shot. It is really a great place to build your own custom models based on the things that you think are important for the week. If you have a certain inclination that one stat will be more important than another you are able to weigh it higher and build out your own model in that way. You can check out their site at www.fantasynational.com.

Overall Strategy

Everyone knows Augusta National well. It is a very sloped course with room off the tee, but tough approaches to these greens. Once you are on the greens, you are not yet done dealing with undulation as you will see super fast greens with some massive slopes that players will have to be careful with. The key is obviously placing approaches or pitches below the hole so you can be aggressive with your putts. 

Over the years we have seen that driving can be a weapon at Augusta National. The longer you hit it, the shorter clubs you will be hitting into the greens which should lend itself to more control. Distance is not an end all be all, but it should help players that have it. We may see some rain throughout the week, which would also increase the importance of distance. Overall, I am still looking for golfers with an all around game, preferably ones who have solid incoming form.

This week we have a top 50 and ties cut. The only change to this as opposed to previous years is the fact that there used to be a rule that the cut also included anyone who was within 10 shots of the lead. This will make it a bit tougher to make the cut but still a pretty large portion of the playable guys will make the cut.

The top range of this field is super strong this week and you can still make some nice lineups jamming in two of them.

Key Stats

  • SG: Ball Striking
  • SG: Approach
  • SG: Around the green
  • Opportunities gained
  • SG: Putting

$10K + Range

  • Justin Thomas ($10,700) – The Players champion looks to be in fine form and I expect him to contend for his 2nd major and first Masters this week. He has improved here through the years and is primed to breakthrough.

Notables: Bryson DeChambeau, Rory McIlory

$8K and $9K Range

  • Jordan Spieth (9,400) – He is 100% back in my eyes and I think he is on a mission for this week. Winning last week doesn’t worry me a bit and I will go right to him at a place he loves. He is underpriced in relation to his odds now and I expect him to be popular, but I will be different elsewhere. 
  • Brooks Koepka ($9,200) – An improbable return for Brooks here at Augusta. I expect him to be low owned and when he is out to prove something I am willing to take a chance on him. He is an ultimate competitor and he knows how to show up in majors. The key to his week will be how that right knee holds up. 

Notables: Viktor Hovland, Patrick Cantlay

$7K Range

  • Paul Casey ($7,700) – Casey is another guy who will be popular, but is severely underpriced in relation to his odds. He is playing some great golf right now and has some solid history here at Augusta. His tee to green numbers have been off the charts and I will continue to ride that hot form. 
  • Sergio Garcia ($7,900) – This is another guy who has got his iron play to a super elite level once again and is a previous Masters champion. At sub $8k I will take advantage of his price and have a healthy amount of Sergio this week.

Notables: Jason Day, Louis Oosthuizen, Joachin Niemann

$6K Range

  • Si Woo Kim ($6,700) – Si Woo has had three straight respectable finishes here at Augusta and comes in with some solid form again. The price allows you to do a lot with the rest of your lineup and has top 10 upside in my eyes.  
  • Matt Kuchar ($6,800) – What a turnaround of form for Kuch in these past couple weeks. He has some strong history here at Augusta with some top 5s and for this price I am willing to see if this hot run will continue.

Notables: Corey Conners

If you guys have any questions please let me know in the Slack! Remember to always trust your gut and play the plays that your research leads you to!

Daily Fantasy NASCAR Preview and Picks for DraftKings – Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 (Atlanta)

Each week Dane brings you his preview article and in addition, we also have a DFS NASCAR cheatsheet where both Dane and Chris rank their top plays in each price range. To get access to this sheet and our Slack chat, grab a FREE trial and use promo code “RP50” and get 50% off your first payment. With that, let’s jump into the article.

Daily Fantasy NASCAR Preview and Picks for DraftKings – Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 (Atlanta)

This week we head to Atlanta as we continue the early part of the Cup season. This is always a fun race and there is quite a bit of strategy involved. I usually tend to lean on experienced drivers at a race like this but we do have some young guys in decent spots.

The way I plan to structure this article each week is to talk about strategy for the track we are at and then dive into each price range. I will probably give my favorite play or 2 from each range but I really want the focus to be on strategy. NASCAR only has 40 drivers in each race so I’m not going to write up half the field. Let’s dive in!

I do a lot of my weekly research over at Fantasy Racing Cheat Sheet (https://frcs.pro). They give you a great database to sort out stats so you can see who has good track form along with track type history. They really have all the tools you would want to analyze what drivers are trending and how they match up with the race ahead. Be sure to check them out!

Overall Strategy

Atlanta is a track that we will be looking for 2-3 dominators in our lineups. With the tire wear that we see at this track, I think we will see fastest laps spread a bit through the field, depending on who has the freshest tires if we get a few green flag stops.

$10K + Range

  • Kyle Larson ($10,400) Starting 6th – I really like Larson’s current form with this new team. Hendrick seems to be a very nice fit for him to this point and I could see another strong performance on Sunday. He led 142 laps here two years ago with Chip Ganassi which tells me he knows how to get around this place. Larson is my favorite top range play this weekend.

Notables: Kevin Harvick

$8K and $9K Range

  • Martin Truex Jr. ($9,600) Starting 2nd – Coming off a win last week I think this team really has some stress off it’s back and could dominate this weekend. I think he is underpriced and could definitely be a top dominator option for us on Sunday. He has been good here in the past and took home the Xfinity race here today. 
  • Ryan Blaney ($9,200) Starting 10th – Blaney is always in the 2nd tier when we refer to dominators but I fully expect him to win a race soon. He led a portion of the race last week and his teammate Brad Keselowski has been really good here in the past. I think that can translate throughout the Penske garage this weekend.

Notables: Austin Cindric, Tyler Reddick, Kurt Busch

$6K and $7K Range

  • Ryan Newman ($7,100) Starting 28th – With this starting position you really have to look at newman. He has been consistent here at Atlanta in the past and could definitely pay off with a top 15 finish for us tomorrow. 
  • Ross Chastain ($6,600) Starting 21st – I’m really intrigued by the Chip Ganassi history at Atlanta. Between Kurt Busch and Kyle Larson when he was in the 42 car, I feel that they have something figured out. For this price I think Chastain could really pay off for us and I don’t think that he will be super popular.

Notables: Cole Custer

Below $6K Range

  • Anthony Alfredo ($5,500) Starting 32nd – It’s really hard not to go here again with this price tag and starting spot. He has been a 20-25th place car most of the year and for this price I will take a 20th place finish.

If you guys have any questions please let me know in the Slack! Good luck to everyone this week!

Daily Fantasy Golf – Dane’s Darts for The Honda Classic

Each week Dane brings you his preview article and in addition, we also have a DFS PGA cheatsheet where both Dane and Chris rank their top plays in each price range. To get access to this sheet and our Slack chat, grab a FREE trial and use promo code “RP50” and get 50% off your first payment. With that, let’s jump into the article.

Dane’s Darts for The Honda Classic

We go to one of the toughest stops on tour this week and it is another event that we can see some surprising missed cuts due to big numbers being made. I feel pretty good about my approach this week and think we can have a strong week heading into the match play.

As mentioned last week, my goal for this article is to break down each price range from a strategy/lineup construction standpoint. Once I do that, I will list a couple of my favorite plays in the range. I really want to help you by talking through how we can be different through construction and not necessarily just taking 3-4 < 5% owned players. That is one way I have really improved in DFS golf, understanding that you only must be different to a point. I usually focus on lower entry max GPPs (single entry, 3 maxes, and 5 maxes) but will speak to certain plays that are better in larger fields and cash games.  

I build my models and do a lot of my early week research over at Fantasy National. If you haven’t checked them out, I would highly recommend giving them a shot. It is really a great place to build your own custom models based on the things that you think are important for the week. If you have a certain inclination that one stat will be more important than another you are able to weigh it higher and build out your own model in that way. You can check out their site at www.fantasynational.com.

Overall Strategy

This is another week that I think it is fine to fade a good amount of the chalk plays. Guys can miss the cut because of one bad whole here. We have a course with a lot of water once again and that can cause some carnage.

Key Stats

  • SG: Approach 
  • SG: Ball Striking 
  • Par 4 Scoring 
  • SG: Around the Green 

$10K + Range

  • Joaquin Niemann ($10,400) – I really like Niemann to win this week in a weaker field. He is on the verge of breaking through and should really thrive in these conditions. I love his form from tee to green and am not scared off by this price in relation to the field strength this week. 

$8K and $9K Range

  • Shane Lowry ($9,200) – Lowry played very well last week and looked to find something. This price is very fair and does have some experience here with a 21st last year. He is a grinder who can get it done on a course like this. 
  • Dylan Telli ($8,200) – Telli as we will call him this week is one of my favorite plays with price and ownership considered. I don’t think he will be super popular and I loved what we saw from him ball striking last week. Who’s ready for Telli SZNNNN??

Notables: Matt Wallace

$7K Range

  • KH Lee ($7,500) – Lee matches up form with course history and is a very nice value price. 7th and 38th in his two appearances here. He was stellar off the tee and into the greens last week and think he can continue this down in Florida.
  • Phil Mickelson ($7,400) – I was impressed with what we saw from Phil last week and he is a guy who can definitely outscore his finishing position with the birdies he will make. I think his around the green game with improve from last week and if so he could surprise people this week.

Notables: Patton Kizzire

$6K Range

  • Chase Seiffert ($6,200) – Seiffert is a fine value play this week that obviously comes with risk. He has shown some flashes of form including a 15th in Puerto Rico last time out. We need a made cut from him this week to pay off.

Notables: Bo Hoag, Bronson Burgoon

If you guys have any questions please let me know in the Slack! Be sure to listen to this week’s RotoPros PGA Video where Chris and I break down the course, weather and some of our favorite plays.

 

Daily Fantasy NASCAR Preview and Picks for DraftKings – Instacart 500

Each week Dane brings you his preview article and in addition, we also have a DFS NASCAR cheatsheet where both Dane and Chris rank their top plays in each price range. To get access to this sheet and our Slack chat, grab a FREE trial and use promo code “RP50” and get 50% off your first payment. With that, let’s jump into the article.

Daily Fantasy NASCAR Preview and Picks for DraftKings – Instacart 500

This race was the last one in 2020 before the season came to a screeching halt and now we return. This is also the new home to the final race of the season which crowns the Cup champion. I expect a fun day of racing as I always love watching drivers fan out going into turn 1.

The way I plan to structure this article each week is to talk about strategy for the track we are at and then dive into each price range. I will probably give my favorite play or 2 from each range but I really want the focus to be on strategy. NASCAR only has 40 drivers in each race so I’m not going to write up half the field. Let’s dive in!

I do a lot of my weekly research over at Fantasy Racing Cheat Sheet (https://frcs.pro). They give you a great database to sort out stats so you can see who has good track form along with track type history. They really have all the tools you would want to analyze what drivers are trending and how they match up with the race ahead. Be sure to check them out!

Overall Strategy

I will be looking at 2-3 dominators in my lineups this week. This is a hard track to pass at and we usually see clean air out front be king after restarts. This is a flat track that kind of comps to places like New Hampshire, Richmond and Martinsville. That is something else I am looking at as far as data from 2020.

$10K + Range

  • Chase Elliott ($11,500) Starting 6th – Chase dominated this race back in November taking home the Championship and I think he can do so again tomorrow. He has shown flashes this year but they haven’t put it all together. That can change tomorrow.

Notables: Joey Logano, Martin Truex Jr

$8K and $9K Range

  • Aric Almirola ($9,000) Starting 32nd – Aric is another guy who has ran into quite a bit of trouble this year and hasn’t put it all together. He gives us a nice floor with upside at this starting spot tomorrow and maybe people are scared because of the current form. 
  • Ryan Blaney ($9,300) Starting 8th – Blaney has ran well here at Phoenix in the past and is priced nicely. I think he has the potential to lead a portion of this race and can fit builds as a 2nd or even 3rd dominator. 

Notables: Denny Hamlin, Alex Bowman

$6K and $7K Range

  • Kurt Busch ($7,700) Starting 12th – Kurt projects very well here. I think he can definitely give us a top 10 and has an outside shot at a top 5. I like that for the price here and I hope he’s not super popular due to his starting spot. 
  • Bubba Wallace ($7,200) Starting 25th – Bubba has had some trouble recently, but I do expect this team to figure it out. He now starts far enough back that we can give him a go and I’m sure people are scared to play him a little bit. 

Notables: Tyler Reddick

Below $6K Range

  • Daniel Suarez ($5,900) Starting 27th – I have been impressed with this TrackHouse team so far in 2021. It feels like Suarez is reenergized and I think this team has the upside of a top 15 finish. At this price if I feel he has that I almost have to play him. 

Notables: Anthony Alfredo

If you guys have any questions please let me know in the Slack! Good luck to everyone this week!

Daily Fantasy Golf – Dane’s Darts for The PLAYERS Championship

Each week Dane brings you his preview article and in addition, we also have a DFS PGA cheatsheet where both Dane and Chris rank their top plays in each price range. To get access to this sheet and our Slack chat, grab a FREE trial and use promo code “RP50” and get 50% off your first payment. With that, let’s jump into the article.

Dane’s Darts for The PLAYERS Championship

Big time tournament this week at TPC Sawgrass. The PLAYERS is sometimes referred to as the 5th major and it is always an event that I look forward to. We see a lot of carnage here usually and I expect nothing different this week.

As mentioned last week, my goal for this article is to break down each price range from a strategy/lineup construction standpoint. Once I do that, I will list a couple of my favorite plays in the range. I really want to help you by talking through how we can be different through construction and not necessarily just taking 3-4 < 5% owned players. That is one way I have really improved in DFS golf, understanding that you only must be different to a point. I usually focus on lower entry max GPPs (single entry, 3 maxes, and 5 maxes) but will speak to certain plays that are better in larger fields and cash games.  

I build my models and do a lot of my early week research over at Fantasy National. If you haven’t checked them out, I would highly recommend giving them a shot. It is really a great place to build your own custom models based on the things that you think are important for the week. If you have a certain inclination that one stat will be more important than another you are able to weigh it higher and build out your own model in that way. You can check out their site at www.fantasynational.com.

Overall Strategy

TPC Sawgrass is a course that was built to be a complete test of a golfer’s game. There are drivable par 4s, reachable par 5s, long and tough par 4s and a variance of par 3 yardages. There will be no keying in on a certain proximity range this week as you better be in control of every club in your bag if you want to do well. The greens here are a bit smaller than average and they play very fast with a lot of undulations.

With that being said I am going to be focusing on great approach players this week. Over the years, approach play has been a major cog in deciding a winner here with the exception of Webb Simpson in 2018. Below are my key stats in my stat model this week.

Key Stats

  • SG: Approach 
  • SG: Ball Striking 
  • Par 4 Scoring 
  • SG: Around the Green 
  • Bogey Avoidance

$10K + Range

  • Dustin Johnson ($11,200) – If I do come to this range this week I believe it will be to DJ. He has been in great form except for his -10 strokes putting for the week last time out. I think he bounces back here and it could be in a big way. I do like the balanced build a lot more than coming up here this week though.

$8K and $9K Range

  • Collin Morikawa ($9,400) – Love this range this week and it starts with Morikawa. The guy is a walking flame with his irons and I expect another strong week from him here. He hasn’t played a full tournament at Sawgrass but did open with a -4 round before the cancellation last year. 
  • Patrick Cantlay ($9,200) – I expect him to be popular this week but this is a perfect intersection of trending form and a lovely price. Cantlay is one of my favorites to win this tournament and is a top play for me regardless of ownership.

Notables: Viktor Hovland, Patrick Reed, Jordan Spieth, Hideki Matsuyama, Daniel Berger

$7K Range

  • Will Zalatoris ($7,600) – This range is strong as well and gives us guys who have top 10 upside for a value price tag. First is Zalatoris for me and I will continue to ride this form he has had since coming onto the PGA Tour. He continued his solid tee to green play last week at the Arnold Palmer and that translated to 10th place effort. 
  • Tommy Fleetwood ($7,900) – Tommy was right in the mix until a lackluster Sunday which has come to be expected from him. The good thing for DFS players is that he is priced below $8k and doesn’t necessarily need to win to pay off for you. The only place he struggled last week was off the tee. Tommy has previous finishes of 5th and 7th here at Sawgrass in 2018 and 2019.

Notables: Joaquin Niemann, Lanto Griffin, Corey Conners

$6K Range

  • Keegan Bradley ($6,900) – Keegan is not a guy I like to play usually, but his tee to green game is always strong and it is up to his putter as to if he will have a good week or not. He has a 7th and 16th place finish his last two times here and comes off a strong week at the API. Overall, I am going to try to stay out of this range. 

If you guys have any questions please let me know in the Slack! Be sure to listen to this week’s RotoPros PGA Video where Chris and I break down the course, weather and some of our favorite plays.

Daily Fantasy NASCAR Preview and Picks for DraftKings – Pennzoil 400

Each week Dane brings you his preview article and in addition, we also have a DFS NASCAR cheatsheet where both Dane and Chris rank their top plays in each price range. To get access to this sheet and our Slack chat, grab a FREE trial and use promo code “RP50” and get 50% off your first payment. With that, let’s jump into the article.

Daily Fantasy NASCAR Preview and Picks for DraftKings – Pennzoil 400

This week the Cup series heads to Vegas for the Pennzoil 400. We have seen all weekend how these races play out as far as dominators and strategy this weekend and I think the Cup race will be fairly similar. I will touch more on my plans for building below. I am really liking the fact that we have seen three somewhat surprising winners so far this year and I think it will make getting into the playoffs tougher for these smaller teams.

The way I plan to structure this article each week is to talk about strategy for the track we are at and then dive into each price range. I will probably give my favorite play or 2 from each range but I really want the focus to be on strategy. NASCAR only has 40 drivers in each race so I’m not going to write up half the field. Let’s dive in!

I do a lot of my weekly research over at Fantasy Racing Cheat Sheet (https://frcs.pro). They give you a great database to sort out stats so you can see who has good track form along with track type history. They really have all the tools you would want to analyze what drivers are trending and how they match up with the race ahead. Be sure to check them out!

Overall Strategy

I will be focusing on two dominators per lineup this weekend as there are plenty of laps to have multiple guys who lead for quite a bit of the race. You have to make sure you get dominators into your builds to capture the upside of those fastest laps and laps led.

$10K + Range

  • Ryan Blaney ($10,800) Starting 26th – It’s hard for me not to write up Blaney. I think he could absolutely smash this weekend with his starting spot. He is a guy who could potentially dominate this race later on and has major place differential upside to go with it. He has been good at Vegas and is my favorite play in the upper range this week.

Notables: Chase Elliott, Martin Truex Jr

$8K and $9K Range

  • Kevin Harvick ($9,700) Starting 1st – I don’t like what we saw from Harvick last week, but this price and the fact that I think he can dominate this race early on leads me right back to him this week. He is one of my favorite dominators for this race. 
  • Aric Almirola ($8,600) Starting 28th – Another Stewart Haas driver, I expect them to bounce back this week. He has great upside with this starting spot and is one of my favorite place differential drivers on the slate. 

Notables: Denny Hamlin

$6K and $7K Range

  • Chris Buescher ($6,400) Starting 18th – We saw a very strong stretch from Buescher last week at Miami and he deserved a much better final result that what he got. I think he has top 10 upside and for this price that would be more than enough. Sometimes early in the year you have to take chances on drivers that could have something figured out in the new year. 
  • Christopher Bell ($7,700) Starting 16th – Bell is a guy who already has a win and is going to be a bit risky all year because this team is going to go for wins and be aggressive with this win in their back pocket. I hope he is a bit lower owned tomorrow and if so he can crush this price tag. 

Notables: Cole Custer, Daniel Suarez, Chase Briscoe

Below $6K Range

  • Anthony Alfredo ($5,600) Starting 27th – Alfredo has been decent in taking over for John Hunter Nemechek in the 38 this year. If he can get in the high teens for us then he will pay off this super low price tag. I don’t love this range but if you need the value Alfredo is my favorite. 

Notables: Ryan Preece

If you guys have any questions please let me know in the Slack! Good luck to everyone this week!

Daily Fantasy Golf – Dane’s Darts for the Arnold Palmer Invitational

Each week Dane brings you his preview article and in addition, we also have a DFS PGA cheatsheet where both Dane and Chris rank their top plays in each price range. To get access to this sheet and our Slack chat, grab a FREE trial and use promo code “RP50” and get 50% off your first payment. With that, let’s jump into the article.

Dane’s Darts for the Arnold Palmer Invitational

We have been on a hot run here at RotoPros and we look to continue that this week at the Arnold Palmer Invitational. This is a very fun event with some top tier competition. The Florida swing continues as we gear up for The Players Championship next week at TPC Sawgrass.

As mentioned last week, my goal for this article is to break down each price range from a strategy/lineup construction standpoint. Once I do that, I will list a couple of my favorite plays in the range. I really want to help you by talking through how we can be different through construction and not necessarily just taking 3-4 < 5% owned players. That is one way I have really improved in DFS golf, understanding that you only must be different to a point. I usually focus on lower entry max GPPs (single entry, 3 maxes, and 5 maxes) but will speak to certain plays that are better in larger fields and cash games.  

I build my models and do a lot of my early week research over at Fantasy National. If you haven’t checked them out, I would highly recommend giving them a shot. It is really a great place to build your own custom models based on the things that you think are important for the week. If you have a certain inclination that one stat will be more important than another you are able to weigh it higher and build out your own model in that way. You can check out their site at www.fantasynational.com.

Overall Strategy

I have played around with some builds and the balanced route is looking like the way I will go this week. With how pricing is I do think stars and scrubs will be a bit more popular so I like this construction as a way to be a little different.

We want golfers who are overall good ball strikers this week because if you miss fairways and greens wildly you will be in the water. Long irons come into play a lot more than at most courses and that is also something I am looking for this week. It is a very long course, but we have seen a lot of non bombers win here.

$10K + Range

  • Rory McIlroy ($11,500) – Rory has the history at this course with 5 top 11 finishes in 6 tries, including a win. His game seems to be in a good place overall and I do expect him to break through on a Sunday soon. When it comes to DFS, even though he is the most expensive golfer you don’t necessarily need him to win. You need a top 5 out of him and then have other top finishers. 

Notables: Tyrell Hatton

$8K and $9K Range

  • Matthew Fitzpatrick ($9,800) – Fitz is one of the guys I mentioned above that isn’t the longest hitter but has traditionally played very well here. To go along with that he has been 5th and 11th in his two PGA Tour starts of 2021, gainings strokes in every facet of his game. I expect him to be popular but I will get different elsewhere.
  • Francesco Molinari ($8,700) – Another guy who has been very good here is Moli. I love what we are seeing out of him coming back this year after an odd year for him in 2020 where he didn’t play very much. He has 3 top 10s in 4 starts this year and should be able to improve on that at a place he has won at. $8,700 is a magnificent price. 

Notables: Tommy Fleetwood, Will Zalatoris, Jordan Spieth

$7K Range

  • Lanto Griffin ($7,700) – Lanto is a guy I will continue to ride here. In his last 3 starts he has been very good tee to green and has turned that into 7th, 26th and 22nd place finishes. Lanto’s debut here at Bay Hill was last year when he finished 36th. 
  • Alex Noren ($7,300) – I really like the form we are seeing from Noren. He has popped on these leaderboards lately and looked like he found his tee to green game last time out at the Genesis. He gained nearly 4 strokes on approach there and I expect a fine week from him here.

Notables: Corey Conners, Luke List

$6K Range

  • Sebastian Munoz ($6,700) – We saw some life out of Munoz last week when he gained 5 strokes on approach finishing 22nd at the WGC. I don’t love this range but if you want stars and scrubs you will need some value plays to make the rest of your lineup work. He is one of my favorites in this range. 

Notables: Matthew NeSmith

If you guys have any questions please let me know in the Slack! Be sure to listen to this week’s RotoPros PGA Video where Chris and I break down the course, weather and some of our favorite plays.

 

Daily Fantasy NASCAR Preview and Picks for DraftKings – Dixie Vodka 400

Each week Dane brings you his preview article and in addition, we also have a DFS NASCAR cheatsheet where both Dane and Chris rank their top plays in each price range. To get access to this sheet and our Slack chat, grab a FREE trial and use promo code “RP50” and get 50% off your first payment. With that, let’s jump into the article.

Daily Fantasy NASCAR Preview and Picks for DraftKings – Dixie Vodka 400

The NASCAR season rolls on this weekend in Miami. Homestead used to be the Championship race but now it has been moved to earlier in the year. This is a fun track to watch as drivers take different lines and try to make them work throughout the race. 

The way I plan to structure this article each week is to talk about strategy for the track we are at and then dive into each price range. I will probably give my favorite play or 2 from each range but I really want the focus to be on strategy. NASCAR only has 40 drivers in each race so I’m not going to write up half the field. Let’s dive in!

I do a lot of my weekly research over at Fantasy Racing Cheat Sheet (https://frcs.pro). They give you a great database to sort out stats so you can see who has good track form along with track type history. They really have all the tools you would want to analyze what drivers are trending and how they match up with the race ahead. Be sure to check them out!

Overall Strategy

At this track we look for drivers who are good on steep tracks. We do see a decent amount of tire fall off but nothing like we do at a track like Darlington. This is a fun strategy race to watch play out. 

I am looking for 2-3 dominators in my lineups tomorrow. Place differential is important, but we can’t forget our dominators. We haven’t had a race this year that we are focusing on dominators so hopefully we get a good amount of new players who don’t fully understand this strategy.

$10K + Range

  • Kyle Larson ($10,700) Starting 17th – This has always been one of Larson’s best tracks and now he is in better equipment than he has ever had here. There is no way I can fade him tomorrow as I think this is going to be a breakout year for him. He has some place differential floor to go along with his upside of leading a good portion of this race. 

Notables: Chase Elliott, Kevin Harvick

$8K and $9K Range

  • Tyler Reddick ($8,500) Starting 35th – He will be popular but is definitely one of my favorite plays tomorrow. He was 4th here a year ago and he also had two wins here when he won championships in the Xfinity series. No chance I am fading him tomorrow starting in the back. He has top 5-10 upside. 
  • Matt DiBenedetto ($8,800) Starting 37th – Matty D has steadily improved here at Homestead and now starting this far back gives us a big floor and upside. It is hard to go away from him as well, even though he will be popular. Maybe to get a bit different you play one of these two guys in a lineup. 

Notables: Denny Hamlin

$6K and $7K Range

  • Austin Dillon ($7,700) Starting 22nd – Austin has a very strong history here and has a great price for us this weekend. I love the RCR stack of him and Reddick. 6 straight top 15s for Austin at Homestead and has steadily improved each race. 
  • Aric Almirola ($7,900) Starting 16th – Stewart Haas has had some good success at Homestead, especially Kevin Harvick. Almirola hasn’t been too shabby himself and at sub $8k I like him this week with some nice upside. You could even pair him with Harvick for the team correlation. 

Notables: Ryan Newman

Below $6K Range

  • Daniel Suarez ($5,700) Starting 21st – I hardly played Suarez last year, but I believe that his equipment is a step up this season. At this price a top 15 would be a great finish for us and I think it is definitely doable. 

Notables: Corey LaJoie, Anthony Alfredo

If you guys have any questions please let me know in the Slack! Good luck to everyone this week!

Daily Fantasy Golf – Dane’s Darts for the WGC Workday Championship

Each week Dane brings you his preview article and in addition, we also have a DFS PGA cheatsheet where both Dane and Chris rank their top plays in each price range. To get access to this sheet and our Slack chat, grab a FREE trial and use promo code “RP50” and get 50% off your first payment. With that, let’s jump into the article.

Dane’s Darts for the WGC Workday Championship

A four-day no-cut event comes to us this week at The Concession Golf Club in Bradenton, FL. There are a few different strategies when it comes to WGCs and I will get into that below. We have a very exciting stretch of golf coming up as we get ready to see The Players next month. 

As mentioned last week, my goal for this article is to break down each price range from a strategy/lineup construction standpoint. Once I do that, I will list a couple of my favorite plays in the range. I really want to help you by talking through how we can be different through construction and not necessarily just taking 3-4 < 5% owned players. That is one way I have really improved in DFS golf, understanding that you only must be different to a point. I usually focus on lower entry max GPPs (single entry, 3 maxes, and 5 maxes) but will speak to certain plays that are better in larger fields and cash games.  

I build my models and do a lot of my early week research over at Fantasy National. If you haven’t checked them out, I would highly recommend giving them a shot. It is really a great place to build your own custom models based on the things that you think are important for the week. If you have a certain inclination that one stat will be more important than another you are able to weigh it higher and build out your own model in that way. You can check out their site at www.fantasynational.com.

Overall Strategy

In no-cut events, I tend to go a bit more stars and scrubs. This is because everyone will get to play four rounds and if the cheaper guys are making you birdies they will pay off. There are some nice looking plays in the $7k and $6k range that will make this a bit easier to do this week. Scoring becomes much more important when guys play four rounds. You will have guys this week that finish around 20th but are top 10 in terms of DK scoring. This leads me to guys who are a bit more aggressive and make a good amount of birdies.

$10K + Range

  • Justin Thomas ($10,500) – I like this week for a bounce-back for JT. He has been struggling a bit since the death of his grandfather but we know he is one of the top players in the world. He crushes WGC events and maybe we get a little bit lower ownership on him this week.

Notables: Jon Rahm

$8K and $9K Range

  • Collin Morikawa ($9,000) – I will be right back on Morkikawa this week. He was number two in the field last week in SG: APP and just couldn’t putt. He changed grips last week and I am just hoping he can putt field average this week and he will be right in the mix.
  • Joaquin Niemann ($8,100) – Niemann had a strong week last week but struggled in the windy 3rd round. I am happy to go back to him at a more than fair price here. He is a guy who can make birdies and I expect him to outscore his finishing position this week (unless he wins).

Notables: Viktor Hovland, Brooks Koepka

$7K Range

  • Justin Rose ($7,700) – This is a nice price for Rose this week. He hasn’t played over here since November, but has played three weeks in Europe improving each week. He finished second at the Saudi International behind Dustin Johnson. 

Notables: Ryan Palmer, Jason Day

$6K Range

  • Lanto Griffin ($6,700) – I like a few guys in this range this week and it starts with Lanto. He has strung together a couple good finishes and I think he is a consistent guy we can go right back to this week.
  • Abraham Ancer ($6,800) – Struggled last week trying to knock off a few weeks worth of rust but this price is super enticing. I don’t remember the last time he was below $7,000 and just had a 5th at the AMEX in January. 
  • Victor Perez ($6,900) – Perez is very boom or bust in my eyes but is a guy who really crushes on the Euro Tour. He had a very good finish his last time out finishing 4th in Saudi. He can make tons of birdies and I like that he does have a top 5 in a WGC last year. 

If you guys have any questions please let me know in the Slack! Be sure to listen to this week’s RotoPros PGA Video where Chris and I break down the course, weather and some of our favorite plays.