Good Saturday afternoon everyone. It’s been a while since I’ve written up something for Draftkings UFC but I am really excited about tonight’s action. Without further delay this is what I am looking at for tonight.
Top value plays
Kevin Aguilar – If he loses he is likely out of the UFC so there is some extra motivation. He has lost 3 straight, but it was against tough competition. He is taking on a newcomer coming off of a good showing in the contender series, but he doesn’t stand out to me as anything too special. Aguilar will benefit if they are able to keep this one on the feet. For the price I like Aguilar. This fight will likely goto decision so we will likely be at the hands of the judges in this close fight. If either were to finish early I would see it being Aguilar
Priscila Cachoeira – She has a huge upside for her price. This match is either going to decision and Gina Mazany will win with a fairly low point output, or Cachoeira will put it away in the 1st or 2nd round, which at 6900 makes her an absolute must in your lineups. Mazany has lost in the 1st round in 3 of her last 5 fights. Now with all of that said, Mazany did look very impressive in her last fight accumulating a lot of Takedowns and a knockdown, but until she does it again that seems to be more of an anomaly than reality. The betting line is way too wide for what history has shown. In no way do i think Cachoeira is a lock, but her upside is too big to ignore.
Edson Barboza – This fight could end up being the fight of the night and it can go either direction honestly. If people like to base their ownership just looking at past fights they may overlook Barboza as he has lost three of his last five, but all three were against great fighters and 2 were due to arguably bad decisions made by the judges (you don’t say?). Barbazo is a pretty safe bet for cash lineups if this were to go to decision and he does lose. His floor is pretty high for his price (outside an early finish).
Tony Ferguson – This match is huge for both fighters. A year ago Ferguson was eyeing the belt that he previously had to surrender but fell to Gaethje late in the 5th round of a very close fight and then lost to Charles Oliviera late last year. Deruish is on a six match winning streak and a win here would likely put him a fight or 2 away from a title shot. Just like a few of the other matches that can go either way but Ferguson is hard to ignore.
Top Stud Play
Christos Giagos – With all of the value out there I am going to take a stand and lock in Giagos. Sean Soriano is fighting on short notice as Joel Alvarez was originally supposed to be fighting in this match. Soriano has been in the UFC before but was cut in 2015 after 3 consecutive losses. If this goes the distance then my night might be done as Giagos cardio is not very good, but that just means I expect him to win with a 1st or 2nd round KO.
Fade match of the night
Katlyn Chookagian v. Viviane Araujo – I don’t see Araujo winning and I don’t see Chookagian accumulating enough points. She is low output and likes to stay on her feet so we lose control time potential and takedown
Coin Flip Must have matches
Charles Oliveira v. Michael Chandler – This match should be really exciting, and I believe it’s going to end in the 3rd round, but I couldn’t tell you which one is winning. I lean Oliveira, but i’d be lying if I said I was extremely confident
Jacare Souza v. Andre Muniz – Much like the Oliveira match I believe this one is going to end in the 2nd or 3rd round, but it really could go either way.