Each week Dane brings you his preview article and in addition, we also have a DFS PGA cheatsheet where both Dane and Chris rank their top plays in each price range. To get access to this sheet and our Slack chat, grab a FREE trial and use promo code “RP50” and get 50% off your first payment. With that, let’s jump into the article.
Dane’s Darts for The Honda Classic
We go to one of the toughest stops on tour this week and it is another event that we can see some surprising missed cuts due to big numbers being made. I feel pretty good about my approach this week and think we can have a strong week heading into the match play.
As mentioned last week, my goal for this article is to break down each price range from a strategy/lineup construction standpoint. Once I do that, I will list a couple of my favorite plays in the range. I really want to help you by talking through how we can be different through construction and not necessarily just taking 3-4 < 5% owned players. That is one way I have really improved in DFS golf, understanding that you only must be different to a point. I usually focus on lower entry max GPPs (single entry, 3 maxes, and 5 maxes) but will speak to certain plays that are better in larger fields and cash games.
I build my models and do a lot of my early week research over at Fantasy National. If you haven’t checked them out, I would highly recommend giving them a shot. It is really a great place to build your own custom models based on the things that you think are important for the week. If you have a certain inclination that one stat will be more important than another you are able to weigh it higher and build out your own model in that way. You can check out their site at www.fantasynational.com.
This is another week that I think it is fine to fade a good amount of the chalk plays. Guys can miss the cut because of one bad whole here. We have a course with a lot of water once again and that can cause some carnage.
- SG: Approach
- SG: Ball Striking
- Par 4 Scoring
- SG: Around the Green
$10K + Range
- Joaquin Niemann ($10,400) – I really like Niemann to win this week in a weaker field. He is on the verge of breaking through and should really thrive in these conditions. I love his form from tee to green and am not scared off by this price in relation to the field strength this week.
$8K and $9K Range
- Shane Lowry ($9,200) – Lowry played very well last week and looked to find something. This price is very fair and does have some experience here with a 21st last year. He is a grinder who can get it done on a course like this.
- Dylan Telli ($8,200) – Telli as we will call him this week is one of my favorite plays with price and ownership considered. I don’t think he will be super popular and I loved what we saw from him ball striking last week. Who’s ready for Telli SZNNNN??
Notables: Matt Wallace
- KH Lee ($7,500) – Lee matches up form with course history and is a very nice value price. 7th and 38th in his two appearances here. He was stellar off the tee and into the greens last week and think he can continue this down in Florida.
- Phil Mickelson ($7,400) – I was impressed with what we saw from Phil last week and he is a guy who can definitely outscore his finishing position with the birdies he will make. I think his around the green game with improve from last week and if so he could surprise people this week.
Notables: Patton Kizzire
- Chase Seiffert ($6,200) – Seiffert is a fine value play this week that obviously comes with risk. He has shown some flashes of form including a 15th in Puerto Rico last time out. We need a made cut from him this week to pay off.
Notables: Bo Hoag, Bronson Burgoon
If you guys have any questions please let me know in the Slack! Be sure to listen to this week’s RotoPros PGA Video where Chris and I break down the course, weather and some of our favorite plays.