Each week Dane brings you his preview article and in addition, we also have a DFS PGA cheatsheet where both Dane and Chris rank their top plays in each price range. To get access to this sheet and our Slack chat, grab a FREE trial and use promo code “RP50” and get 50% off your first payment. With that, let’s jump into the article.
Dane’s Darts for The Masters
The time has come. The Masters returns after only five months and I couldn’t be more excited. I am glad it has returned to April for 2021 and we are in store for an awesome week. There are so many storylines, as always, and I am ready to break down my thoughts on the week below.
As mentioned, my goal for this article is to break down each price range from a strategy/lineup construction standpoint. Once I do that, I will list a couple of my favorite plays in the range. I really want to help you by talking through how we can be different through construction and not necessarily just taking 3-4 < 5% owned players. That is one way I have really improved in DFS golf, understanding that you only must be different to a point. I usually focus on lower entry max GPPs (single entry, 3 maxes, and 5 maxes) but will speak to certain plays that are better in larger fields and cash games.
I build my models and do a lot of my early week research over at Fantasy National. If you haven’t checked them out, I would highly recommend giving them a shot. It is really a great place to build your own custom models based on the things that you think are important for the week. If you have a certain inclination that one stat will be more important than another you are able to weigh it higher and build out your own model in that way. You can check out their site at www.fantasynational.com.
Everyone knows Augusta National well. It is a very sloped course with room off the tee, but tough approaches to these greens. Once you are on the greens, you are not yet done dealing with undulation as you will see super fast greens with some massive slopes that players will have to be careful with. The key is obviously placing approaches or pitches below the hole so you can be aggressive with your putts.
Over the years we have seen that driving can be a weapon at Augusta National. The longer you hit it, the shorter clubs you will be hitting into the greens which should lend itself to more control. Distance is not an end all be all, but it should help players that have it. We may see some rain throughout the week, which would also increase the importance of distance. Overall, I am still looking for golfers with an all around game, preferably ones who have solid incoming form.
This week we have a top 50 and ties cut. The only change to this as opposed to previous years is the fact that there used to be a rule that the cut also included anyone who was within 10 shots of the lead. This will make it a bit tougher to make the cut but still a pretty large portion of the playable guys will make the cut.
The top range of this field is super strong this week and you can still make some nice lineups jamming in two of them.
- SG: Ball Striking
- SG: Approach
- SG: Around the green
- Opportunities gained
- SG: Putting
$10K + Range
- Justin Thomas ($10,700) – The Players champion looks to be in fine form and I expect him to contend for his 2nd major and first Masters this week. He has improved here through the years and is primed to breakthrough.
Notables: Bryson DeChambeau, Rory McIlory
$8K and $9K Range
- Jordan Spieth (9,400) – He is 100% back in my eyes and I think he is on a mission for this week. Winning last week doesn’t worry me a bit and I will go right to him at a place he loves. He is underpriced in relation to his odds now and I expect him to be popular, but I will be different elsewhere.
- Brooks Koepka ($9,200) – An improbable return for Brooks here at Augusta. I expect him to be low owned and when he is out to prove something I am willing to take a chance on him. He is an ultimate competitor and he knows how to show up in majors. The key to his week will be how that right knee holds up.
Notables: Viktor Hovland, Patrick Cantlay
- Paul Casey ($7,700) – Casey is another guy who will be popular, but is severely underpriced in relation to his odds. He is playing some great golf right now and has some solid history here at Augusta. His tee to green numbers have been off the charts and I will continue to ride that hot form.
- Sergio Garcia ($7,900) – This is another guy who has got his iron play to a super elite level once again and is a previous Masters champion. At sub $8k I will take advantage of his price and have a healthy amount of Sergio this week.
Notables: Jason Day, Louis Oosthuizen, Joachin Niemann
- Si Woo Kim ($6,700) – Si Woo has had three straight respectable finishes here at Augusta and comes in with some solid form again. The price allows you to do a lot with the rest of your lineup and has top 10 upside in my eyes.
- Matt Kuchar ($6,800) – What a turnaround of form for Kuch in these past couple weeks. He has some strong history here at Augusta with some top 5s and for this price I am willing to see if this hot run will continue.
Notables: Corey Conners
If you guys have any questions please let me know in the Slack! Remember to always trust your gut and play the plays that your research leads you to!