Each week Dane brings you his preview article and in addition, we also have a DFS PGA cheatsheet where both Dane and Chris rank their top plays in each price range. To get access to this sheet and our Slack chat, grab a FREE trial and use promo code “RP50” and get 50% off your first payment. With that, let’s jump into the article.
Dane’s Darts for the WGC Workday Championship
A four-day no-cut event comes to us this week at The Concession Golf Club in Bradenton, FL. There are a few different strategies when it comes to WGCs and I will get into that below. We have a very exciting stretch of golf coming up as we get ready to see The Players next month.
As mentioned last week, my goal for this article is to break down each price range from a strategy/lineup construction standpoint. Once I do that, I will list a couple of my favorite plays in the range. I really want to help you by talking through how we can be different through construction and not necessarily just taking 3-4 < 5% owned players. That is one way I have really improved in DFS golf, understanding that you only must be different to a point. I usually focus on lower entry max GPPs (single entry, 3 maxes, and 5 maxes) but will speak to certain plays that are better in larger fields and cash games.
I build my models and do a lot of my early week research over at Fantasy National. If you haven’t checked them out, I would highly recommend giving them a shot. It is really a great place to build your own custom models based on the things that you think are important for the week. If you have a certain inclination that one stat will be more important than another you are able to weigh it higher and build out your own model in that way. You can check out their site at www.fantasynational.com.
In no-cut events, I tend to go a bit more stars and scrubs. This is because everyone will get to play four rounds and if the cheaper guys are making you birdies they will pay off. There are some nice looking plays in the $7k and $6k range that will make this a bit easier to do this week. Scoring becomes much more important when guys play four rounds. You will have guys this week that finish around 20th but are top 10 in terms of DK scoring. This leads me to guys who are a bit more aggressive and make a good amount of birdies.
$10K + Range
- Justin Thomas ($10,500) – I like this week for a bounce-back for JT. He has been struggling a bit since the death of his grandfather but we know he is one of the top players in the world. He crushes WGC events and maybe we get a little bit lower ownership on him this week.
Notables: Jon Rahm
$8K and $9K Range
- Collin Morikawa ($9,000) – I will be right back on Morkikawa this week. He was number two in the field last week in SG: APP and just couldn’t putt. He changed grips last week and I am just hoping he can putt field average this week and he will be right in the mix.
- Joaquin Niemann ($8,100) – Niemann had a strong week last week but struggled in the windy 3rd round. I am happy to go back to him at a more than fair price here. He is a guy who can make birdies and I expect him to outscore his finishing position this week (unless he wins).
Notables: Viktor Hovland, Brooks Koepka
- Justin Rose ($7,700) – This is a nice price for Rose this week. He hasn’t played over here since November, but has played three weeks in Europe improving each week. He finished second at the Saudi International behind Dustin Johnson.
Notables: Ryan Palmer, Jason Day
- Lanto Griffin ($6,700) – I like a few guys in this range this week and it starts with Lanto. He has strung together a couple good finishes and I think he is a consistent guy we can go right back to this week.
- Abraham Ancer ($6,800) – Struggled last week trying to knock off a few weeks worth of rust but this price is super enticing. I don’t remember the last time he was below $7,000 and just had a 5th at the AMEX in January.
- Victor Perez ($6,900) – Perez is very boom or bust in my eyes but is a guy who really crushes on the Euro Tour. He had a very good finish his last time out finishing 4th in Saudi. He can make tons of birdies and I like that he does have a top 5 in a WGC last year.
If you guys have any questions please let me know in the Slack! Be sure to listen to this week’s RotoPros PGA Video where Chris and I break down the course, weather and some of our favorite plays.