NASCAR shifts to Hotlanta as we continue our return to racing. We have another full week ahead of us with Martinsville on Wednesday then Homestead next weekend. I personally am loving this bunched schedule, even though I’m sure it is hard on the teams.
The way I plan to structure this article each week is to talk about strategy for the track we are at and then dive into each price range. I will probably give my favorite play or 2 from each range but I really want the focus to be on strategy. NASCAR only has 40 drivers in each race so I’m not going to write up half the field. Let’s dive in!
I do a lot of my weekly research over at Fantasy Racing Cheat Sheet (https://frcs.pro). They give you a great database to sort out stats so you can see who has good track form along with track type history. They really have all the tools you would want to analyze what drivers are trending and how they match up with the race ahead. Be sure to check them out!
Atlanta is a track that I view as a mix of Charlotte and Darlington. The track kind of resembles Charlotte but adds the tire wear that we have at Darlington. We should see most everyone want 4 fresh tires on pit stops as opposed to Charlotte where we saw guys involving strategy to get track position.
I think we see a 2-3 dominator race today and that is how I plan to build my lineups. DraftKings has started to adjust pricing to qualifying but they still end up being off on a few guys in my opinion. I’ll touch a bit more on strategy as we go through the price ranges.
I think that we have enough value this week to be in this range in a lot of our builds. My thoughts here are with limited lineups, I don’t expect to have much of any driver except the one listed below.
- Kevin Harvick ($11,700) Starting 9th – Harvick has had a really good race car since we came back racing and he’s been great here in the past. 5 straight top 10s here and I fully expect him to compete for the win today. Love his experience with high tire wear.
Notables: Jimmie Johnson
$8K AND $9K RANGE
This is an exciting range with some dominators as well as place differential drivers. You can load up here with some of the value to start some lineups, without going up in the $10k range.
- Chase Elliott ($9,900) Starting 1st- How can you not play Chase right now. He has been one of the best cars all year and starts on the pole today. The only thing that worries me a bit is if we get a competition caution. This has shaken up things a little bit recently at the start of the race. I still think Chase has a good enough car to dominate some of this race even if he does lose the lead at the caution.
- Martin Truex Jr. ($9,600) Starting 11th – will people stop playing Truex due to his finishes recently? I hope so. He has been so good here and I can’t help but expect for these guys to figure it out soon.
- Tyler Reddick ($8,300) Starting 24th – These RCR cars have been really good this year. I am very impressed with how Reddick has done as a rookie. Starting back in 24th I really like his place differential upside today.
Notables: Ryan Blaney, Kurt Busch
$6K AND $7K RANGE
A lot of potential plays in this range and some are very underpriced. Again once we get down here feel free to mix and match with your top priced drivers
- Erik Jones ($6,600) Starting 14th – What is DK doing with his price right now? This is absurdly cheap for Jones. If he can finish around here or on the cusp of a top 10 I’d be very happy.
- Cole Custer ($6,100) Starting 31st – This is a very good price for Custer starting this far back. Maybe his teammate Harvick gave him some tips…
Notables: Matt DiBenedetto, Christopher Bell
BELOW $6K RANGE
There are so many plays in that range just above, but I do see some value here if you are jamming in the top priced drivers.
- Michael McDowell ($5,200) Starting 36th – This is very cheap for the starting spot. He can help you fit in guys like Harvick pretty easily, but as always please don’t play massive amounts of guys down here. The $6k range has some great value so I don’t think you have to punt down here in a lot of lineups.
Please feel free to hit me up with questions in Slack. If you haven’t already, be sure to check out the 2020 season preview article. It is filled with great strategy and info on car/crew chief changes for the season. Let’s keep rolling!