Daily Fantasy Golf – Dane’s Darts for The Masters

Each week Dane brings you his preview article and in addition, we also have a DFS PGA cheatsheet where both Dane and Chris rank their top plays in each price range. To get access to this sheet and our Slack chat, grab a FREE trial and use promo code “RP50” and get 50% off your first payment. With that, let’s jump into the article.

Dane’s Darts for The Masters

The time has come. The Masters returns after only five months and I couldn’t be more excited. I am glad it has returned to April for 2021 and we are in store for an awesome week. There are so many storylines, as always, and I am ready to break down my thoughts on the week below.

As mentioned, my goal for this article is to break down each price range from a strategy/lineup construction standpoint. Once I do that, I will list a couple of my favorite plays in the range. I really want to help you by talking through how we can be different through construction and not necessarily just taking 3-4 < 5% owned players. That is one way I have really improved in DFS golf, understanding that you only must be different to a point. I usually focus on lower entry max GPPs (single entry, 3 maxes, and 5 maxes) but will speak to certain plays that are better in larger fields and cash games.  

I build my models and do a lot of my early week research over at Fantasy National. If you haven’t checked them out, I would highly recommend giving them a shot. It is really a great place to build your own custom models based on the things that you think are important for the week. If you have a certain inclination that one stat will be more important than another you are able to weigh it higher and build out your own model in that way. You can check out their site at www.fantasynational.com.

Overall Strategy

Everyone knows Augusta National well. It is a very sloped course with room off the tee, but tough approaches to these greens. Once you are on the greens, you are not yet done dealing with undulation as you will see super fast greens with some massive slopes that players will have to be careful with. The key is obviously placing approaches or pitches below the hole so you can be aggressive with your putts. 

Over the years we have seen that driving can be a weapon at Augusta National. The longer you hit it, the shorter clubs you will be hitting into the greens which should lend itself to more control. Distance is not an end all be all, but it should help players that have it. We may see some rain throughout the week, which would also increase the importance of distance. Overall, I am still looking for golfers with an all around game, preferably ones who have solid incoming form.

This week we have a top 50 and ties cut. The only change to this as opposed to previous years is the fact that there used to be a rule that the cut also included anyone who was within 10 shots of the lead. This will make it a bit tougher to make the cut but still a pretty large portion of the playable guys will make the cut.

The top range of this field is super strong this week and you can still make some nice lineups jamming in two of them.

Key Stats

  • SG: Ball Striking
  • SG: Approach
  • SG: Around the green
  • Opportunities gained
  • SG: Putting

$10K + Range

  • Justin Thomas ($10,700) – The Players champion looks to be in fine form and I expect him to contend for his 2nd major and first Masters this week. He has improved here through the years and is primed to breakthrough.

Notables: Bryson DeChambeau, Rory McIlory

$8K and $9K Range

  • Jordan Spieth (9,400) – He is 100% back in my eyes and I think he is on a mission for this week. Winning last week doesn’t worry me a bit and I will go right to him at a place he loves. He is underpriced in relation to his odds now and I expect him to be popular, but I will be different elsewhere. 
  • Brooks Koepka ($9,200) – An improbable return for Brooks here at Augusta. I expect him to be low owned and when he is out to prove something I am willing to take a chance on him. He is an ultimate competitor and he knows how to show up in majors. The key to his week will be how that right knee holds up. 

Notables: Viktor Hovland, Patrick Cantlay

$7K Range

  • Paul Casey ($7,700) – Casey is another guy who will be popular, but is severely underpriced in relation to his odds. He is playing some great golf right now and has some solid history here at Augusta. His tee to green numbers have been off the charts and I will continue to ride that hot form. 
  • Sergio Garcia ($7,900) – This is another guy who has got his iron play to a super elite level once again and is a previous Masters champion. At sub $8k I will take advantage of his price and have a healthy amount of Sergio this week.

Notables: Jason Day, Louis Oosthuizen, Joachin Niemann

$6K Range

  • Si Woo Kim ($6,700) – Si Woo has had three straight respectable finishes here at Augusta and comes in with some solid form again. The price allows you to do a lot with the rest of your lineup and has top 10 upside in my eyes.  
  • Matt Kuchar ($6,800) – What a turnaround of form for Kuch in these past couple weeks. He has some strong history here at Augusta with some top 5s and for this price I am willing to see if this hot run will continue.

Notables: Corey Conners

If you guys have any questions please let me know in the Slack! Remember to always trust your gut and play the plays that your research leads you to!

Daily Fantasy Golf – Dane’s Darts for The Honda Classic

Each week Dane brings you his preview article and in addition, we also have a DFS PGA cheatsheet where both Dane and Chris rank their top plays in each price range. To get access to this sheet and our Slack chat, grab a FREE trial and use promo code “RP50” and get 50% off your first payment. With that, let’s jump into the article.

Dane’s Darts for The Honda Classic

We go to one of the toughest stops on tour this week and it is another event that we can see some surprising missed cuts due to big numbers being made. I feel pretty good about my approach this week and think we can have a strong week heading into the match play.

As mentioned last week, my goal for this article is to break down each price range from a strategy/lineup construction standpoint. Once I do that, I will list a couple of my favorite plays in the range. I really want to help you by talking through how we can be different through construction and not necessarily just taking 3-4 < 5% owned players. That is one way I have really improved in DFS golf, understanding that you only must be different to a point. I usually focus on lower entry max GPPs (single entry, 3 maxes, and 5 maxes) but will speak to certain plays that are better in larger fields and cash games.  

I build my models and do a lot of my early week research over at Fantasy National. If you haven’t checked them out, I would highly recommend giving them a shot. It is really a great place to build your own custom models based on the things that you think are important for the week. If you have a certain inclination that one stat will be more important than another you are able to weigh it higher and build out your own model in that way. You can check out their site at www.fantasynational.com.

Overall Strategy

This is another week that I think it is fine to fade a good amount of the chalk plays. Guys can miss the cut because of one bad whole here. We have a course with a lot of water once again and that can cause some carnage.

Key Stats

  • SG: Approach 
  • SG: Ball Striking 
  • Par 4 Scoring 
  • SG: Around the Green 

$10K + Range

  • Joaquin Niemann ($10,400) – I really like Niemann to win this week in a weaker field. He is on the verge of breaking through and should really thrive in these conditions. I love his form from tee to green and am not scared off by this price in relation to the field strength this week. 

$8K and $9K Range

  • Shane Lowry ($9,200) – Lowry played very well last week and looked to find something. This price is very fair and does have some experience here with a 21st last year. He is a grinder who can get it done on a course like this. 
  • Dylan Telli ($8,200) – Telli as we will call him this week is one of my favorite plays with price and ownership considered. I don’t think he will be super popular and I loved what we saw from him ball striking last week. Who’s ready for Telli SZNNNN??

Notables: Matt Wallace

$7K Range

  • KH Lee ($7,500) – Lee matches up form with course history and is a very nice value price. 7th and 38th in his two appearances here. He was stellar off the tee and into the greens last week and think he can continue this down in Florida.
  • Phil Mickelson ($7,400) – I was impressed with what we saw from Phil last week and he is a guy who can definitely outscore his finishing position with the birdies he will make. I think his around the green game with improve from last week and if so he could surprise people this week.

Notables: Patton Kizzire

$6K Range

  • Chase Seiffert ($6,200) – Seiffert is a fine value play this week that obviously comes with risk. He has shown some flashes of form including a 15th in Puerto Rico last time out. We need a made cut from him this week to pay off.

Notables: Bo Hoag, Bronson Burgoon

If you guys have any questions please let me know in the Slack! Be sure to listen to this week’s RotoPros PGA Video where Chris and I break down the course, weather and some of our favorite plays.

 

Daily Fantasy Golf – Dane’s Darts for The PLAYERS Championship

Each week Dane brings you his preview article and in addition, we also have a DFS PGA cheatsheet where both Dane and Chris rank their top plays in each price range. To get access to this sheet and our Slack chat, grab a FREE trial and use promo code “RP50” and get 50% off your first payment. With that, let’s jump into the article.

Dane’s Darts for The PLAYERS Championship

Big time tournament this week at TPC Sawgrass. The PLAYERS is sometimes referred to as the 5th major and it is always an event that I look forward to. We see a lot of carnage here usually and I expect nothing different this week.

As mentioned last week, my goal for this article is to break down each price range from a strategy/lineup construction standpoint. Once I do that, I will list a couple of my favorite plays in the range. I really want to help you by talking through how we can be different through construction and not necessarily just taking 3-4 < 5% owned players. That is one way I have really improved in DFS golf, understanding that you only must be different to a point. I usually focus on lower entry max GPPs (single entry, 3 maxes, and 5 maxes) but will speak to certain plays that are better in larger fields and cash games.  

I build my models and do a lot of my early week research over at Fantasy National. If you haven’t checked them out, I would highly recommend giving them a shot. It is really a great place to build your own custom models based on the things that you think are important for the week. If you have a certain inclination that one stat will be more important than another you are able to weigh it higher and build out your own model in that way. You can check out their site at www.fantasynational.com.

Overall Strategy

TPC Sawgrass is a course that was built to be a complete test of a golfer’s game. There are drivable par 4s, reachable par 5s, long and tough par 4s and a variance of par 3 yardages. There will be no keying in on a certain proximity range this week as you better be in control of every club in your bag if you want to do well. The greens here are a bit smaller than average and they play very fast with a lot of undulations.

With that being said I am going to be focusing on great approach players this week. Over the years, approach play has been a major cog in deciding a winner here with the exception of Webb Simpson in 2018. Below are my key stats in my stat model this week.

Key Stats

  • SG: Approach 
  • SG: Ball Striking 
  • Par 4 Scoring 
  • SG: Around the Green 
  • Bogey Avoidance

$10K + Range

  • Dustin Johnson ($11,200) – If I do come to this range this week I believe it will be to DJ. He has been in great form except for his -10 strokes putting for the week last time out. I think he bounces back here and it could be in a big way. I do like the balanced build a lot more than coming up here this week though.

$8K and $9K Range

  • Collin Morikawa ($9,400) – Love this range this week and it starts with Morikawa. The guy is a walking flame with his irons and I expect another strong week from him here. He hasn’t played a full tournament at Sawgrass but did open with a -4 round before the cancellation last year. 
  • Patrick Cantlay ($9,200) – I expect him to be popular this week but this is a perfect intersection of trending form and a lovely price. Cantlay is one of my favorites to win this tournament and is a top play for me regardless of ownership.

Notables: Viktor Hovland, Patrick Reed, Jordan Spieth, Hideki Matsuyama, Daniel Berger

$7K Range

  • Will Zalatoris ($7,600) – This range is strong as well and gives us guys who have top 10 upside for a value price tag. First is Zalatoris for me and I will continue to ride this form he has had since coming onto the PGA Tour. He continued his solid tee to green play last week at the Arnold Palmer and that translated to 10th place effort. 
  • Tommy Fleetwood ($7,900) – Tommy was right in the mix until a lackluster Sunday which has come to be expected from him. The good thing for DFS players is that he is priced below $8k and doesn’t necessarily need to win to pay off for you. The only place he struggled last week was off the tee. Tommy has previous finishes of 5th and 7th here at Sawgrass in 2018 and 2019.

Notables: Joaquin Niemann, Lanto Griffin, Corey Conners

$6K Range

  • Keegan Bradley ($6,900) – Keegan is not a guy I like to play usually, but his tee to green game is always strong and it is up to his putter as to if he will have a good week or not. He has a 7th and 16th place finish his last two times here and comes off a strong week at the API. Overall, I am going to try to stay out of this range. 

If you guys have any questions please let me know in the Slack! Be sure to listen to this week’s RotoPros PGA Video where Chris and I break down the course, weather and some of our favorite plays.

Daily Fantasy Golf – Dane’s Darts for the Arnold Palmer Invitational

Each week Dane brings you his preview article and in addition, we also have a DFS PGA cheatsheet where both Dane and Chris rank their top plays in each price range. To get access to this sheet and our Slack chat, grab a FREE trial and use promo code “RP50” and get 50% off your first payment. With that, let’s jump into the article.

Dane’s Darts for the Arnold Palmer Invitational

We have been on a hot run here at RotoPros and we look to continue that this week at the Arnold Palmer Invitational. This is a very fun event with some top tier competition. The Florida swing continues as we gear up for The Players Championship next week at TPC Sawgrass.

As mentioned last week, my goal for this article is to break down each price range from a strategy/lineup construction standpoint. Once I do that, I will list a couple of my favorite plays in the range. I really want to help you by talking through how we can be different through construction and not necessarily just taking 3-4 < 5% owned players. That is one way I have really improved in DFS golf, understanding that you only must be different to a point. I usually focus on lower entry max GPPs (single entry, 3 maxes, and 5 maxes) but will speak to certain plays that are better in larger fields and cash games.  

I build my models and do a lot of my early week research over at Fantasy National. If you haven’t checked them out, I would highly recommend giving them a shot. It is really a great place to build your own custom models based on the things that you think are important for the week. If you have a certain inclination that one stat will be more important than another you are able to weigh it higher and build out your own model in that way. You can check out their site at www.fantasynational.com.

Overall Strategy

I have played around with some builds and the balanced route is looking like the way I will go this week. With how pricing is I do think stars and scrubs will be a bit more popular so I like this construction as a way to be a little different.

We want golfers who are overall good ball strikers this week because if you miss fairways and greens wildly you will be in the water. Long irons come into play a lot more than at most courses and that is also something I am looking for this week. It is a very long course, but we have seen a lot of non bombers win here.

$10K + Range

  • Rory McIlroy ($11,500) – Rory has the history at this course with 5 top 11 finishes in 6 tries, including a win. His game seems to be in a good place overall and I do expect him to break through on a Sunday soon. When it comes to DFS, even though he is the most expensive golfer you don’t necessarily need him to win. You need a top 5 out of him and then have other top finishers. 

Notables: Tyrell Hatton

$8K and $9K Range

  • Matthew Fitzpatrick ($9,800) – Fitz is one of the guys I mentioned above that isn’t the longest hitter but has traditionally played very well here. To go along with that he has been 5th and 11th in his two PGA Tour starts of 2021, gainings strokes in every facet of his game. I expect him to be popular but I will get different elsewhere.
  • Francesco Molinari ($8,700) – Another guy who has been very good here is Moli. I love what we are seeing out of him coming back this year after an odd year for him in 2020 where he didn’t play very much. He has 3 top 10s in 4 starts this year and should be able to improve on that at a place he has won at. $8,700 is a magnificent price. 

Notables: Tommy Fleetwood, Will Zalatoris, Jordan Spieth

$7K Range

  • Lanto Griffin ($7,700) – Lanto is a guy I will continue to ride here. In his last 3 starts he has been very good tee to green and has turned that into 7th, 26th and 22nd place finishes. Lanto’s debut here at Bay Hill was last year when he finished 36th. 
  • Alex Noren ($7,300) – I really like the form we are seeing from Noren. He has popped on these leaderboards lately and looked like he found his tee to green game last time out at the Genesis. He gained nearly 4 strokes on approach there and I expect a fine week from him here.

Notables: Corey Conners, Luke List

$6K Range

  • Sebastian Munoz ($6,700) – We saw some life out of Munoz last week when he gained 5 strokes on approach finishing 22nd at the WGC. I don’t love this range but if you want stars and scrubs you will need some value plays to make the rest of your lineup work. He is one of my favorites in this range. 

Notables: Matthew NeSmith

If you guys have any questions please let me know in the Slack! Be sure to listen to this week’s RotoPros PGA Video where Chris and I break down the course, weather and some of our favorite plays.