Each week Dane brings you his preview article and in addition, we also have a DFS PGA cheatsheet where both Dane and Chris rank their top plays in each price range. To get access to this sheet and our Slack chat, grab a FREE trial and use promo code “RP50” and get 50% off your first payment. With that, let’s jump into the article.
Dane’s Darts for the PGA Championship
The second major of the year brings us to Kiawah Island, SC. The Ocean Course is a gem of a course and sets up for an awesome test for the best players in the world. We have a lot of options to choose from this week and I’m here to help you narrow down your player pool. There are a few different ways that you can go about building this week and we will get into those strategies below.
As mentioned, my goal for this article is to break down each price range from a strategy/lineup construction standpoint. Once I do that, I will list a couple of my favorite plays in the range. I really want to help you by talking through how we can be different through construction and not necessarily just taking 3-4 < 5% owned players. That is one way I have really improved in DFS golf, understanding that you only must be different to a point. I usually focus on lower entry max GPPs (single entry, 3 maxes, and 5 maxes) but will speak to certain plays that are better in larger fields and cash games.
I build my models and do a lot of my early week research over at Fantasy National. If you haven’t checked them out, I would highly recommend giving them a shot. It is really a great place to build your own custom models based on the things that you think are important for the week. If you have a certain inclination that one stat will be more important than another you are able to weigh it higher and build out your own model in that way. You can check out their site at www.fantasynational.com.
Kiawah is a course that is defended by the wind. Even though it is super long, approaching 8,000 yards I do think we see a winner around -10 if there is not much wind for the week. All that it takes though is one day full of wind and these scores will go way up. To play well here you are going to have to hit it well tee to green. This is a Pete Dye course and that means that it has many intricacies that are meant to fool every golfer. I am looking a little bit at people who play well on other Pete Dye courses in my research.
You are going to need your long irons to compete this week so I am looking at proximity from 200+. There is some trouble that you can get into off the tee in these waste areas so good drives are going to also be key this week.
Here is a look at my complete list of key stats for the week:
- SG: Ball Striking
- SG: Approach
- Good Drives Gained
- Prox: 200+
There are a lot of good values in each pricing tier this week so I think you can build stars and scrubs and not feel horrible about your lineup. I will have a mix of this with balanced in my 20 max because I do like a lot of mid range guys this week as well.
If we do get a shift in the weather mid week and have a wave advantage this will definitely be something to take advantage of much like we did a couple weeks back at Quail Hollow. Chris and I will be sure to touch on this during our live show on Wednesday night.
$9K + Range
- Rory McIlroy ($11,500) – The winner here at the last PGA at Kiawah Island was no other than Rory, when he lapped the field by 8 strokes. He got back on track in a big way with a win last time out at Quail Hollow a place he has dominated in the past. I loved what I saw out of him all week and have no hesitation to go to him here. The price is high but as I mentioned before, I see a lot of value that helps to play him and you can even do it with another $10k+ golfer if you really want to.
- Jordan Spieth ($10,100) – Jordan has really kicked into form and looks close to going on a run like he did in 2015. He needs this week to complete the career grand slam so I guess that does add a bit more pressure, but I can’t overlook the way he is playing right now. His tee to green game has been next level good and we know the kind of putter he is.
Notables: Bryson DeChambeau, Viktor Hovland
$7K and $8K Range
- Daniel Berger ($8,700) – Berger comes in with some kind of strong recent form, storming up the board Sunday at the Byron Nelson to top it off. I think he is ready to break out on the big stage and comes with a very nice price tag this week at only $8,700.
- Tommy Fleetwood ($8,200) – I love playing Tommy in major championships and he looks to be finding some form right now. I think his game sets up perfect for this type of course and he can play in the wind if it does kick up.
- Matt Wallace ($7,400) – Wallace is underpriced for his recent form and I do expect him to be popular. I will still be on him as I can’t overlook his form that reads 3rd, 34th, 18th and 6th. His all around game is on point and provides us some nice salary relief in this ragne.
Notables: Shane Lowry, Cameron Smith, Keegan Bradley, Bubba Watson
- Charl Schwartzel ($6,800) – Since a solid finish at the Masters Schwartzel has found some strong form with finishes 21st, 14th and 3rd last week. His tee to green game has been spectacular and is priced under $7k for us this week. I will watch his ownership to make sure he doesn’t come in super popular, but I like him overall heading into the week.
Notables: Thomas Pieters
If you guys have any questions please let me know in the Slack! Remember to always trust your gut and play the plays that your research leads you to!